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  2. Mar 17, 2021 · Oil 2021 tackles these questions by analysing oil market data, trends in investment and government policies. The report provides a comprehensive outlook for global supply and demand through 2026 and explores some of the challenges and uncertainties that lie ahead.

  3. The economic recovery in 2021 has tightened commodity markets and put upward pressure on prices across the board. Crude oil prices whipsawed from USD 20/barrel in the immediate aftermath of the pandemic in mid-2020 to around USD 70/barrel in mid-2021.

  4. Dec 14, 2021 · Global oil demand is now set to rise by 5.4 mb/d in 2021 and by 3.3 mb/d in 2022, when it returns to pre-pandemic levels at 99.5 mb/d. Global oil production is poised to outpace demand from December, led by growth in the US and OPEC+ countries.

  5. We project world oil demand will only increase 300,000 b/d from third to fourth quarter 2021. This slowdown will place greater importance on oil supply restraint if prices are to continue rising. The 2021 oil demand spike gave Saudi Arabia and OPEC+ greatly enhanced, but temporary, oil market power.

    • World oil demand is set to contract by 110 kb/d y-o-y in 4Q22, reaching 100.8 mb/d, up by 130 kb/d compared with last month’s Report. Strong gasoil use in key consuming countries outweighs weak European and Asian petrochemical deliveries.
    • World oil supply fell 190 kb/d in November to 101.7 mb/d, breaking a five-month uptrend, after Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries curbed supply in line with lower OPEC+ output targets.
    • Global refinery throughputs surged 2.2 mb/d in November to the highest since January 2020, resulting in sharply lower diesel and gasoline cracks and refinery margins.
    • Russian oil exports increased by 270 kb/d to 8.1 mb/d, the highest since April as diesel exports rose by 300 kb/d to 1.1 mb/d. Crude oil loadings were largely unchanged m-o-m, even as shipments to the EU fell by 430 kb/d to 1.1 mb/d.
  6. US output is rising amid stronger oil prices. World oil supply is set to rise 1.5 mb/d over November and December, with the US providing 400 kb/d of the gain. Saudi and Russia combined would account for 330 kb/d in line with OPEC+ targets. Total oil supply had already leapt 1.4 mb/d m-o-m in October after the US rebounded from Hurricane Ida.

  7. Jul 8, 2021 · In the July Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), we forecast the Brent crude oil price will average $72 per barrel (b) in the second half of 2021 (2H21) and $67/b in 2022, both $6/b higher than in the June STEO forecast.

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