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   How risky is commercial real estate in Canada?

   • There are two key takeaways about risks to the Canadian financial sector from commercial real estate: First, because many Canadian financial entities participate in the CRE sector, the risk is not concentrated in any one area of the financial system.

   Financial Stability Report—2024 - Bank of Canada

   www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/05/financial-stability-report-2024/

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   Do continuing losses in commercial real estate threaten a financial depression?

   • Do continuing losses in commercial real estate (CRE) threaten a national or global financial and economic depression like we faced in 2007? Not at the moment. But we need to be careful, because we live in a risk-prone economy, where the financial sector can cause deep economic problems.

   Despite Big CRE Losses, The Financial System Is Okay — For Now

   www.forbes.com/sites/richardmcgahey/2024/06/19/big-commercial-real-estate-losses-but-financial-system-is-ok-for-now/

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   Are commercial real estate losses threatening smaller banks?

   • Commercial real estate losses threaten smaller banks, but overall system is sound for now. Financial crises are built into our modern economy.

   Despite Big CRE Losses, The Financial System Is Okay — For Now

   www.forbes.com/sites/richardmcgahey/2024/06/19/big-commercial-real-estate-losses-but-financial-system-is-ok-for-now/

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   Are rising interest rates affecting commercial real estate?

   • A financial stability report from the Federal Reserve flagged concerns tied to rising interest rates, including in commercial real estate. The Federal Reserve said the financial sector could face risks from exposure to the commercial real estate sector. Drew Anthony Smith for The New York Times

   Financial Stability Experts at the Fed Turn a Wary Eye on

   www.nytimes.com/2023/05/08/business/economy/the-fed-commercial-real-estate.html

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   Why is the commercial real estate sector under pressure?

   • Parts of the commercial real estate (CRE) sector, particularly the office subsector, are under pressure. This reflects both cyclical and structural factors, such as higher borrowing costs and weaker demand for office space.

   Financial Stability Report—2024 - Bank of Canada

   www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/05/financial-stability-report-2024/

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   Are pension funds reducing commercial real estate risk?

   • Some pension funds and insurance companies have reduced their exposure to commercial real estate or written down the value of assets in the office subsector, where vacancies are high. These actions are reducing the risks to individual borrowers and lenders as well as to overall financial stability.

   Financial Stability Report—2024 - Bank of Canada

   www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/05/financial-stability-report-2024/

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2. www.bankofcanada.ca › 2024 › 05Financial Stability Report—2024 - Bank of Canada

   www.bankofcanada.ca › 2024 › 05

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   There are two key takeaways about risks to the Canadian financial sector from commercial real estate: First, because many Canadian financial entities participate in the CRE sector, the risk is not concentrated in any one area of the financial system.

3. www.forbes.com › sites › richardmcgaheyDespite Big CRE Losses, The Financial System Is Okay — For Now

   www.forbes.com › sites › richardmcgahey

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   Jun 19, 2024 · Do continuing losses in commercial real estate threaten a national or global financial and economic depression like we faced in 2007? Not at the moment. But we need to be careful, because we live...

4. fraser.stlouisfed.org › title › commercial-realFull text of Commercial Real Estate Losses and the Risk to ...

   fraser.stlouisfed.org › title › commercial-real

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   Full text of Commercial Real Estate Losses and the Risk to Financial Stability : Congressional Oversight Panel February Oversight Report View original document The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.

5. www.bankofcanada.ca › 2023 › 05Financial System Review—2023 - Bank of Canada

   www.bankofcanada.ca › 2023 › 05

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   The exposure of Canadian banks to the commercial real estate sector is generally small. Banks with high lending exposure to industries already facing challenges could be subject to additional credit risk. A notable example is the commercial real estate sector, where the demand for office space has declined because of the shift to more remote work.

6. www.bnnbloomberg.ca › boe-says-commercial-realBOE Says Commercial Real Estate Poses Risk to Stability

   www.bnnbloomberg.ca › boe-says-commercial-real

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   Mar 27, 2024 · Commercial real estate prices could fall further and spark losses for lenders, the Financial Policy Committee said on Wednesday. Significant downside risks remain in Chinese property, creating contagion risks for global financial markets via lenders to property developers.

7. www.nytimes.com › 2023/05/08 › businessFinancial Stability Experts at the Fed Turn a Wary Eye on ...

   www.nytimes.com › 2023/05/08 › business

   May 8, 2023 · May 8, 2023. Federal Reserve financial stability experts are on the lookout for weaknesses after a year of rising interest rates — and as they survey the potential risks confronting the system,...

8. www.stlouisfed.org › on-the-economy › 2024Commercial Real Estate in Focus | St. Louis Fed

   www.stlouisfed.org › on-the-economy › 2024

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   May 30, 2024 · Commercial real estate (CRE) is navigating several challenges, ranging from a looming maturity wall requiring much of the sector to refinance at higher interest rates (commonly referred to as “repricing risk”) to a deterioration in overall market fundamentals, including moderating net operating income (NOI), rising vacancies and declining ...