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- The U.S. Energy Information Administration raised its 2022 forecasts for U.S. and global benchmark oil prices by about 11%, according to a monthly report released Tuesday. The EIA said this year's Brent crude is expected to average $82.87 a barrel, up 10.6% from the January forecast.
www.marketwatch.com/story/eia-lifts-2022-us-and-global-oil-price-forecasts-by-roughly-11-2022-02-08EIA lifts 2022 U.S. and global oil-price forecasts by roughly 11%
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How much does Brent crude oil cost in 2022?
Jan 4, 2023 · The Brent price rose significantly in the first half of 2022 but generally declined in the second half of the year. The spot price for West Texas Intermediate (WTI), a benchmark price for U.S. crude oil, followed a similar pattern, finishing the 2022 trading year $4/b higher than on January 3.
- World oil demand is set to contract by 110 kb/d y-o-y in 4Q22, reaching 100.8 mb/d, up by 130 kb/d compared with last month’s Report. Strong gasoil use in key consuming countries outweighs weak European and Asian petrochemical deliveries.
- World oil supply fell 190 kb/d in November to 101.7 mb/d, breaking a five-month uptrend, after Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries curbed supply in line with lower OPEC+ output targets.
- Global refinery throughputs surged 2.2 mb/d in November to the highest since January 2020, resulting in sharply lower diesel and gasoline cracks and refinery margins.
- Russian oil exports increased by 270 kb/d to 8.1 mb/d, the highest since April as diesel exports rose by 300 kb/d to 1.1 mb/d. Crude oil loadings were largely unchanged m-o-m, even as shipments to the EU fell by 430 kb/d to 1.1 mb/d.
Jun 11, 2024 · We forecast that global oil inventories will begin increasing at an average of 0.4 million b/d in 2Q25 and will increase by 0.6 million b/d in the second half of 2025. As a result, we expect oil prices will increase to an average of $87/b in 4Q24 and $88/b in 1Q25.
Oil demand is back to 95% of pre–Covid levels, and prices are remaining well above $80/bbl and beyond $90/bbl at times. Despite higher oil prices, U.S. shale operators have resisted (until just...
- World oil demand growth is forecast to slow to 1.9 mb/d in 2Q22 from 4.4 mb/d in 1Q22 and is now projected to ease to 490 kb/d on average in the second half of the year on a more tempered economic expansion and higher prices.
- Russia shut in nearly 1 mb/d in April, driving down world oil supply by 710 kb/d to 98.1 mb/d. Over time, steadily rising volumes from Middle East OPEC+ and the US along with a slowdown in demand growth is expected to fend off an acute supply deficit amid a worsening Russian supply disruption.
- Global refinery margins have surged to extraordinarily high levels due to depleted product inventories and constrained refinery activity. Throughputs in April fell 1.4 mb/d to 78 mb/d, the lowest since May 2021, largely driven by China.
- Global observed oil inventories declined by a further 45 mb during March and are now a total 1.2 billion barrels lower since June 2020. In the OECD, the release of 24.7 mb of government stocks during March halted the precipitous decline in industry inventories.
Oct 27, 2022 · • The Brent crude oil price by 2050 is $90 per barrel (b) in constant 2021 dollars (Reference case) – High Oil Price case ($170/b) and Low Oil Price case ($45/b) • Oil and natural gas supply cases – High: more accessible resources and lower extraction technology costs than the Reference case
The Annual Energy Outlook 2022 explores long-term energy trends in the United States; What is the AEO2022 Reference case? What are the side cases?
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