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Price - Chart - Historical Data - News. WTI crude futures held near $84 per barrel on Friday and were set to advance for the fourth straight week as falling US crude inventories and signs of strong seasonal demand supported oil prices. The US oil benchmark is up about 3% so far this week. The US EIA reported that US crude stockpiles declined by ...
- World oil demand is set to contract by 110 kb/d y-o-y in 4Q22, reaching 100.8 mb/d, up by 130 kb/d compared with last month’s Report. Strong gasoil use in key consuming countries outweighs weak European and Asian petrochemical deliveries.
- World oil supply fell 190 kb/d in November to 101.7 mb/d, breaking a five-month uptrend, after Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries curbed supply in line with lower OPEC+ output targets.
- Global refinery throughputs surged 2.2 mb/d in November to the highest since January 2020, resulting in sharply lower diesel and gasoline cracks and refinery margins.
- Russian oil exports increased by 270 kb/d to 8.1 mb/d, the highest since April as diesel exports rose by 300 kb/d to 1.1 mb/d. Crude oil loadings were largely unchanged m-o-m, even as shipments to the EU fell by 430 kb/d to 1.1 mb/d.
- Oil at $80 Sows The Seeds of Volatility in Supply and Demand
- Cruising Altitude: Physical Tightening Hits Top of The Price Band
- Draws Roll on in 4q21 - 2022 Balances Reflect A More Delicate Dance
- Us Crude Oil at The Heart of Global Deficits
- Delta Fatigue: Deep Lockdown Risk Fades, But Regional Divides Grow
As markets approach normalization, higher prices breed reactivity in fundamentals, with supply gradually eclipsing the demand story 1. After the demand surge. Oil markets are objectively in a good place with a clear path towards structural tightening for the first time since the 2014 crash. Physical market tightening picked up pace as the vaccine-i...
Momentum has nudged prices higher, but global deficits may be at their peak with no change to structural price determinants in 2022 1. Short-term momentum pushes 3Q2021 prices higher, but we see no catalyst for a revision to our 2022 outlook. As a result of recent upside pressure and physical indicators, we have lifted our outlook for 3Q2021 prices...
Short term tightening to endure, but 2022 looks less clear cut. The relative slowdown in the rate of tightening in the first quarter gave way to a sharp acceleration in draws over the second quarte...
Perfect storm strikes US crude storage tanksThe acceleration in global crude market tightening over the past couple of months has played out most visibly in weekly US statistics, particularly for c...The combination of high exports and high runs (90+% capacity utilization) have been the main drivers of the nearly 50 MMbbl in crude stock draws over the past three months, yet some of the math is...WTI is now more expensive than (or at parity with) 2nd month DME futures for Mideast medium sour crude and ~$1.60 cheaper than its Atlantic Basin cousin light sweet ICE Brent, yet exports remain ro...Global oil demand recovery plays out according to plan, but variants and slow vaccination outside of developed markets mean hopes of a swift boom in “pent-up” demand above 2019 levels looks unlikel...In our base case outlook, refined fuels consumption blossoms 4.6 MMb/d between June and December. Light distillates account for 2.3MM b/d of this forecast and are on their way to meet expectations...One quarter of this increase is in jet fuel and kerosene, concentrated in the US, Asia (ex. mainland China), Latin America and Europe. The delta variant increasingly puts this consumption at risk,...Monthly Oil Market Report 2022. The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) covers major issues affecting the world oil market and provides an outlook for crude oil market developments for the coming year. The report provides a detailed analysis of key developments impacting oil market trends in world oil demand, supply as well as the oil market ...
Jan 4, 2023 · The WTI price followed a similar path as the Brent crude oil price in 2022, averaging $5/b less than the Brent crude oil price, compared with $3/b less in 2021. The Brent-WTI crude oil spread (the difference between the two prices) increased in 2022 relative to 2021 because European countries needed to replace crude oil supplies they were importing from Russia with crude oil from another source.
Jan 19, 2022 · Oil output from OPEC+ could rise this year by 4.4 mb/d, resulting in reduced effective spare capacity in 2H22 of 2.6 mb/d, held primarily by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Non-OPEC+ growth of 1.8 mb/d in 2022 will be led by the United States. The global refining industry ended 2021 on a high note, with both runs and margins improving.
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Apr 2, 2022 · OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) for March revealed that “world oil demand recorded robust growth of 6.5 mb/d y-o-y in December 2021.”The update went on to say that “for the time ...
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