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      • EIA forecasts that oil prices will fall in 2023 and 2024. We expect that Brent crude oil prices will average $83 per barrel (b) in 2023 and $78/b in 2024, down from $101/b in 2022, mainly because we expect global oil production to outpace consumption.
      www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/BTL/2023/01-brentprice/article.php
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  2. Benchmark crude oil prices are back below pre-war levels and refined product cracks have now come off all-time highs after rising supplies coincided with a marked slowdown in oil demand growth in advanced economies.

  3. Jan 24, 2024 · The Global Energy Perspective 2023 models the outlook for demand and supply of energy commodities across a 1.5°C pathway, aligned with the Paris Agreement, and four bottom-up energy transition scenarios.

    • How will oil prices change in 2023?1
    • How will oil prices change in 2023?2
    • How will oil prices change in 2023?3
    • How will oil prices change in 2023?4
    • How will oil prices change in 2023?5
  4. Sep 24, 2023 · Growing number of forecasts predict oil will reach $100 US this fall. Canada's inflation rate increases to 4%. Beyond elevated prices at the pumps, however, experts say higher oil prices also...

    • World oil demand is on track to rise 2.3 mb/d to 101.7 mb/d in 2023, but this masks the impact of a further weakening of the macroeconomic climate. Global 4Q23 demand growth has been revised down by almost 400 kb/d, with Europe making up more than half the decline.
    • US oil supply growth continues to defy expectations, with output shattering the 20 mb/d mark. This, combined with record Brazilian and Guyanese production along with surging Iranian flows will lift world output by 1.8 mb/d to 101.9 mb/d in 2023.
    • Russian crude export prices declined sharply in November, with Urals falling below the $60/bbl price cap on 6 December. The lower prices and a 200 kb/d drop in oil shipments pushed November export revenues for crude and products down 17% m-o-m to $15.2 billion, a level not seen since July 2023.
    • Refinery margins in Europe and Singapore rebounded marginally in November, but the US Gulf Coast underperformed again, slipping for the third month running.
    • World oil demand remains on track to grow by 2.2 mb/d in 2023 to 101.8 mb/d, led by resurgent Chinese consumption, jet fuel and petrochemical feedstocks.
    • The extension of output cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia through year-end will lock in a substantial market deficit through 4Q23. So far this year, OPEC+ output has fallen by 2 mb/d with overall losses tempered by sharply higher Iranian flows.
    • Russian oil export revenues surged by $1.8 bn to $17.1 bn in August, as higher prices more than offset lower shipments. Led by a decline in product shipments, total Russian oil exports eased by 150 kb/d last month, to 7.2 mb/d, 570 kb/d below a year-ago.
    • Refinery margins hit an eight-month high in August as refiners struggled to keep up with oil demand growth, especially for middle distillates. Product cracks and margins reached near-record levels due to unplanned outages, feedstock quality issues, supply chain bottlenecks and low stocks.
  5. Sep 5, 2024 · EIA forecasts that oil prices will fall in 2023 and 2024. We expect that Brent crude oil prices will average $83 per barrel (b) in 2023 and $78/b in 2024, down from $101/b in 2022, mainly because we expect global oil production to outpace consumption.

  6. Sep 14, 2023 · Oil prices climbed on Thursday to their highest this year, as expectations of tighter supply outweighed worries about weaker economic growth and rising U.S. crude inventories.

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