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2 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.
1 day ago · This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1. The model is the direct descendant of the f/k/a FiveThirtyEight election forecast 2 and the methodology is largely the same, other than removing COVID-19 provisions introduced for 2020.
1 day ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. July 28, 2024 Aug. 4 Aug. 11 Aug. 18 0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Harris 46.7% Trump 43.8% Kennedy 4.9% Aug. 19, 2024 leader Aug. 19, 2024 leader Harris Harris +2.9.
3 days ago · O n November 5th Americans will go to the polls to elect their next president. Until June 27th it seemed that the match-up would be between the same two candidates as in 2020: Joe Biden, the ...
8 hours ago · 47% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. The latest New York Times/Siena College polls find an essentially tied race across the four key Sun Belt battleground states ...
Aug 14, 2011 · This isn’t a popularity contest™. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed ...
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Aug 14, 2023 · This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the ...
