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Jun 25, 2024 · The Conservatives picked up a significant upset win against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberals in the federal byelection in Toronto-St. Paul’s riding. Conservative candidate Don Stewart...
- Olivia Chow
- Ana Bailao
- Mark Saunders
- Josh Matlow
- Mitzie Hunter
- Brad Bradford
- Anthony Furey
Chow has maintained a steady, commanding lead in the polls for most of the campaign, and her front-runner status has made her a target for most other leading candidates in the race. Chow has long been a fixture of Toronto’s progressive left — she became a school board trustee in 1985, served 12 years on city council and eventually became a New Demo...
Bailao rose to prominence as the affordable housing committee chair after being elected to Toronto city council in 2010. Considered a low-profile appointment at the time, the issue of housing grew larger in the city and brought Bailao into the political spotlight. The daughter of a construction worker and a seamstress, Bailao immigrated from Portug...
A cop for nearly 38 years and Toronto police chief from 2015 to 2021, Saunders positioned himself early in the campaign as a tough-on-crime candidate who could save the city from “out-of-control” lawlessness. Born to Jamaican parents, Saunders immigrated to Canada from England as a child in 1967. After joining Toronto police out of high school, he ...
A councillor for the riding of Toronto-St. Paul’s since 2010, Matlow has over the past 13 years undergone a transformation from centrist to one of city council’s leading progressive voices and critic of former mayor Tory. Matlow opened his campaign with the politically bold move of pledging to raise taxes. He said he wanted to be straightforward wi...
A former MPP for Scarborough-Guildwood, Hunter resigned from her provincial seat to run for mayor. Hunter was one of the handful of Ontario Liberals to hang onto their seat after the majority government was defeated in 2018, a success she repeated in 2022 despite the failures of her party overall. She has served as minister of education, minister o...
Bradford captured the public’s attention at several moments throughout the campaign with the birth of his second daughter and an anecdote about his “best friend Paul” living in his basement — a story he used to illustrate issues of housing affordability in the city. Bradford, who has a background in urban planning, was elected to represent Beaches-...
Furey, a conservative columnist, wasn’t considered a prominent contender for much of the campaign and wasn’t invited to earlier mayoral debates, but he rose in the polls to find a spot among the leading contenders. He is currently on leave from his role as a fellow at True North, a far-right digital media platform. He’s known for being a former Tor...
Jun 30, 2024 · This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here. 50% 100% Toronto—St. Paul’s 64% 36% <1% Odds of winning | June 30, 2024. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today.
Jun 10, 2024 · Elections Canada has confirmed an unprecedented 84 candidates for the ongoing by-election in Toronto–St. Paul’s. To accommodate this unusually high number of candidates, there will be a two-column ballot, a first in the constituency’s electoral history.
Results Validated by the Returning Officer. Population: 116,953. Number of electors on list: 84,934. Validation Date: June 27, 2024. Election results by electoral district, for federal elections in Canada.
The Rhinoceros Party announced that Sean Carson would be the candidate on January 13. The NDP announced on April 17 that Amrit Parhar would be the candidate. She works as the Director of Programs at the Institute for Change Leaders, an organization that was founded by Toronto mayor, Olivia Chow.
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Jun 26, 2023 · Welcome to 338Canada Toronto! The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data.
