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4 hours ago · An ABC News/Ipsos/Washington Post poll released Thursday found Biden and Trump are tied among registered voters, and Trump has a one-point lead if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is an option, also a better ...
Jun 16, 2024 · Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 509 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the election could go, while former President Donald Trump wins in 488 of our simulations. There is still a small chance of the pure chaos scenario: In 3 simulations, no candidate wins a majority of Electoral College votes, which would throw ...
- G. Elliott Morris
3 days ago · A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win. If Biden and Trump can hold the states they carried by at least three percentage points in 2020, that leaves seven states that are widely viewed as ...
2 days ago · Download the data. Download. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.
3 days ago · Biden and Trump’s own history should make you think twice about calling wraps on this race as well. Biden was ahead by 9 points in the early July national polls in 2020.He ended up winning the ...
3 days ago · Trump and Biden are tied, 45% to 45%, with the voters who say they are definitely voting. But Biden is doing better with older votes and white voters with college degrees than he did in 2020.
1 day ago · 2024 Elections. National polls say Biden is still in a close race with Trump after debate The three new national polls were conducted after the debate but before the apparent assassination attempt ...
