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1. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2024-election-forecastWho Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2024-election-forecast

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   Jun 11, 2024 · With 133 days until Election Day, our forecast still sees the presidential race as a pure toss-up. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 501 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations...

   • Author: G. Elliott Morris

2. www.economist.com › united-states › 2024/06/12Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead - The Economist

   www.economist.com › united-states › 2024/06/12

   Jun 12, 2024 · Our model gives Mr Trump better chances of victory than do other public quantitative forecasts. A model by Decision Desk HQ and The Hill puts him on 56%.

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4. www.economist.com › in-brief › 2024/06/12A first look at our election-forecast model - The Economist

   www.economist.com › in-brief › 2024/06/12

   Jun 12, 2024 · Today The Economist launches its forecast model for America’s 2024 presidential election. Currently we give Donald Trump a two-in-three chance of winning in November.

5. beta.economist.com › prediction-model › presidentDonald Trump has a two in three chance of winning the election

   beta.economist.com › prediction-model › president

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   Jun 12, 2024 · Our new forecast model finds Mr Trump has a small but clear lead over Joe Biden.

6. abcnews.go.com › 538 › trump-biden-tied-538s-newTrump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast

   abcnews.go.com › 538 › trump-biden-tied-538s-new

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   Jun 11, 2024 · The model builds on our general election polling averages by asking not just what our best guess is about who is leading the presidential race today, but what range of outcomes are possible for the actual election in November.

   • Author: G. Elliott Morris

   • Video Duration: 2 sec

7. www.outkick.com › culture › nate-silvers-first-2024Nate Silver's First 2024 Model Disputes 'Toss Up" Theory ...

   www.outkick.com › culture › nate-silvers-first-2024

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   2 days ago · Stat Guru Nate Silver's First 2024 Model Disputes 'Toss Up" Narrative, Confidently Predicts Trump Victory. The prevailing narrative heading into the first 2024 presidential debate is that the election is a "toss-up," in that neither candidate has distanced himself as the favorite. Nate Silver, the election statistician who founded ...

8. onlinelibrary.wiley.com › doi › fullHuman Resource Management Journal - Wiley Online Library

   onlinelibrary.wiley.com › doi › full

   Jun 5, 2024 · Given Trump's influential association with right-wing populism (Cumming et al., 2020), this stream of research seeks to explain the various workplace outcomes associated with Trump support.