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Mar 14, 2024 · World oil demand growth is now forecast at 1.3 mb/d in 2024, down sharply from last year’s 2.3 mb/d expansion. The slowdown in growth, already apparent in recent data, means that oil consumption reverts towards its historical trend after several years of volatility from the post-pandemic rebound.
Jun 12, 2024 · World oil demand growth continues to slow, with 2024 gains now seen at 960 kb/d, 100 kb/d below last month’s forecast. Weak OECD deliveries pushed global demand into a narrow y-o-y contraction in March.
Apr 12, 2024 · World oil demand growth continues to lose momentum with 1Q24 growth of 1.6 mb/d, 120 kb/d below our previous forecast due to exceptionally weak OECD deliveries. With the post-Covid rebound now largely complete, and vehicle efficiencies and an expanding EV fleet acting as further drags on oil demand, growth in 2024 and 2025 slows to 1.2 mb/d and ...
The most important statistics. In 2023, world oil demand exceeded 100 million bbl/d for the first time since the pandemic. Forecasts suggest global oil demand will grow even more in 2024.
- Global oil demand. Global liquids demand decreased m-o-m by 2.6 MMb/d to 100.4 MMb/d. The decline was driven by Europe and China, where demand decreased m-o-m by 0.8 MMb/d and 0.6 MMb/d, respectively.
- OPEC 10 production (excl. Iran, Venezuela, Libya). OPEC 10’s production decreased slightly, by 0.1 MMb/d m-o-m to 26.9 MMb/d. OPEC’s production has declined by 1.97 MMb/d since January 2023 as it continues to curtail supply, with added uncertainty due to geopolitical tension in Iran.
- Non-OPEC production (excl. US shale). Non-OPEC production decreased by 0.9 MMb/d m-o-m to 60.1 MMb/d. The decline was primarily driven by US non-shale onshore production, which witnessed a m-o-m decline of 0.5 MMb/d due to extreme cold weather disruptions.
- US shale oil production. US shale oil production declined sharply by 0.5 MMb/d m-o-m in January to 9.3 MMb/d as a result of shut-downs due to cold weather across central US.
The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) covers major issues affecting the world oil market and provides an outlook for crude oil market developments for the coming year. The report provides a detailed analysis of key developments impacting oil market trends in world oil demand, supply as well as the oil market balance.
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Mar 14, 2024 · The International Energy Agency on March 14 raised its estimate of 2024 oil demand growth by 110,000 b/d to 1.3 million b/d on an improved economic outlook for the US and higher bunker fuel consumption due to attacks in the Red Sea.
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