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Jun 28, 2018 · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us...
538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
2 days ago · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based...
Nov 3, 2020 · His lead is larger than Clinton’s in every battleground state, and more than double her lead nationally. Our model forecasts Biden to win the popular vote by 8 percentage points, 1 more than ...
FiveThirtyEight
Dec 6, 2022 · What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? A FiveThirtyEight Chat. Filed under 2024 Election. Dec. 20, 2022.
Jun 28, 2018 · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls?
2 days ago · An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS...
538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder Nate Silver left in April 2023.
Apr 21, 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”
