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  1. May 11, 2024 · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential...

  2. Jun 28, 2018 · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

  3. 4 days ago · President Joe Biden turned in a dismal performance at the first presidential general-election debate on Thursday night. That was certainly the opinion of many pundits reacting in real time, but thanks to a new 538/Ipsos poll conducted using Ipsos’s KnowledgePanel, we now know it’s how American voters felt as well.. However, while Biden’s hoarse and stumbling delivery immediately sent ...

  4. 3 days ago · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted...

  5. Jun 28, 2018 · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls.

  6. 1 day ago · How Trump's polls are changing post-conviction. 538’s Galen Druke breaks down recent polling for the 2024 presidential election following former President Donald Trump’s conviction. June 3, 2024. How Trump’s guilty verdict will impact the 2024 presidential election.

  7. 2 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

  8. 3 days ago · Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

  9. 3 days ago · Campaign poll. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501 (c) (4), 501 (c) (5) or 501 (c) (6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of ...

  10. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

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