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The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal.
Alberta. British Columbia. Important note: Some polls are not be listed below because their data is behind a paywall (such as most Nanos weekly updates), but they are included in the projections.
4 days ago · 59029 Saanich—Gulf Islands. GPC likely. 59030 Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay. CPC safe. 59031 Skeena—Bulkley Valley. CPC safe. 59032 South Surrey—White Rock. CPC safe. 59033 Surrey Centre.
Read more on 338Canada's methodology here. Territories, 3 federal districts 2 [1-3] 1 [0-1] 0 [0-1] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | June 30, 2024. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today .
Apr 21, 2024 · The Elections Canada transposition data from the 2021 general election shows how close, yet also Conservative-friendly, the new 343-seat map is from its 338-seat predecessor: Using the 2021 results onto the new boundaries would have resulted in the Liberals winning 157 seats (instead of 160), the Conservatives 126 seats (+7 from 119), the Bloc ...
338Canada.ca. Canadian politics by the numbers. 🍁 Subscribe to 338Canada for in-depth analysis of polling data, electoral maps, and Canada's ever-changing political landscape.
Mar 10, 2024 · The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) released its latest federal numbers in a large-sample national survey (n=3908). Fielded February 28 to March 4, 2024, ARI’s poll measured Conservative support at 40% from coast to coast, 17 points ahead of the Trudeau Liberals, who sit at 23%.
Sep 25, 2021 · 338 Canada, Calculated Politics, Canadian Election Watch, CBC Poll Tracker, Lean Toss Up, LISPOP, Too Close to all, Visualized Politics, @EarlWashburn, @repdonsman456, and @politikstcan each aggregate multiple polls from different polling firms to predict the election.
Jul 16, 2023 · Welcome to 338Canada! The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal.
May 11, 2022 · 338 Canada is a resource identified by ACEC-Ontario for updated polling data, data on parties and electoral districts, and projection maps.
