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Feb 16, 2022 · In our February 2022 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), we forecast that crude oil prices will remain high enough to drive U.S. crude oil production to record-high levels in 2023, reaching a forecast 12.6 million barrels per day (b/d).
- Steo (Short-Term Energy Outlook)
U.S. crude oil production forecast to rise in 2022 and 2023...
- Global Liquid Fuels
We forecast that global oil inventories will begin...
- Steo (Short-Term Energy Outlook)
- World oil demand is set to contract by 110 kb/d y-o-y in 4Q22, reaching 100.8 mb/d, up by 130 kb/d compared with last month’s Report. Strong gasoil use in key consuming countries outweighs weak European and Asian petrochemical deliveries.
- World oil supply fell 190 kb/d in November to 101.7 mb/d, breaking a five-month uptrend, after Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries curbed supply in line with lower OPEC+ output targets.
- Global refinery throughputs surged 2.2 mb/d in November to the highest since January 2020, resulting in sharply lower diesel and gasoline cracks and refinery margins.
- Russian oil exports increased by 270 kb/d to 8.1 mb/d, the highest since April as diesel exports rose by 300 kb/d to 1.1 mb/d. Crude oil loadings were largely unchanged m-o-m, even as shipments to the EU fell by 430 kb/d to 1.1 mb/d.
However, we forecast that global oil inventories will begin building in 2022, driven by rising production from OPEC+ countries and the United States and slowing growth in global oil demand. We expect this shift will put downward pressure on the Brent price, which will average $72/b during 2022.
Jul 13, 2022 · Highlights. Higher prices and a deteriorating economic environment have started to take their toll on oil demand, but strong power generation use and a recovery in China are providing a partial offset. Global oil demand growth has been marginally reduced to 1.7 mb/d in 2022, reaching 99.2 mb/d.
Jan 4, 2023 · The Brent crude oil spot price averaged $100/b in 2022, and the WTI spot price averaged $95/b. In the first half of 2022, geopolitical tension with Russia, culminating with Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, contributed to crude oil price increases.
Jun 11, 2024 · We forecast that global oil inventories will begin increasing at an average of 0.4 million b/d in 2Q25 and will increase by 0.6 million b/d in the second half of 2025. As a result, we expect oil prices will increase to an average of $87/b in 4Q24 and $88/b in 1Q25.
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Forecast. Alerts. WTI crude futures held near $84 per barrel on Friday and were set to advance for the fourth straight week as falling US crude inventories and signs of strong seasonal demand supported oil prices. The US oil benchmark is up about 3% so far this week.
