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Jun 12, 2024 · The report provides detailed analysis and forecasts of oil demand fundamentals across fuels, sectors and regions. It also outlines projected supply from planned upstream and downstream projects around the world.
Mar 14, 2024 · World oil demand growth is now forecast at 1.3 mb/d in 2024, down sharply from last year’s 2.3 mb/d expansion. The slowdown in growth, already apparent in recent data, means that oil consumption reverts towards its historical trend after several years of volatility from the post-pandemic rebound.
Apr 12, 2024 · World oil demand growth continues to lose momentum with 1Q24 growth of 1.6 mb/d, 120 kb/d below our previous forecast due to exceptionally weak OECD deliveries.
In 2023, world oil demand exceeded 100 million bbl/d for the first time since the pandemic. Forecasts suggest global oil demand will grow even more in 2024.
- Global oil demand. Global liquids demand decreased m-o-m by 2.6 MMb/d to 100.4 MMb/d. The decline was driven by Europe and China, where demand decreased m-o-m by 0.8 MMb/d and 0.6 MMb/d, respectively.
- OPEC 10 production (excl. Iran, Venezuela, Libya). OPEC 10’s production decreased slightly, by 0.1 MMb/d m-o-m to 26.9 MMb/d. OPEC’s production has declined by 1.97 MMb/d since January 2023 as it continues to curtail supply, with added uncertainty due to geopolitical tension in Iran.
- Non-OPEC production (excl. US shale). Non-OPEC production decreased by 0.9 MMb/d m-o-m to 60.1 MMb/d. The decline was primarily driven by US non-shale onshore production, which witnessed a m-o-m decline of 0.5 MMb/d due to extreme cold weather disruptions.
- US shale oil production. US shale oil production declined sharply by 0.5 MMb/d m-o-m in January to 9.3 MMb/d as a result of shut-downs due to cold weather across central US.
Jun 12, 2024 · Oil 2024, the latest edition of the IEA’s annual medium-term market report, examines the far-reaching implications of these dynamics for oil supply security, refining, trade and investment.
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