Search results
This product is based on the OVATION model and provides a 30 to 90 minute forecast of the location and intensity of the aurora. The forecast lead time is the time it takes for the solar wind to travel from the L1 observation point to Earth.
This page provides a prediction of the aurora’s visibility tonight and tomorrow night in the charts below. The animations further down show what the aurora’s been up to over the last 24 hours and estimates what the next 30 minutes will be like.
The two maps show the aurora and viewline tonight and tomorrow night. The brightness and location of the aurora is typically shown as a green oval centered on Earth’s magnetic pole. The green ovals turn red when the aurora is forecasted to be more intense.
Below you'll find the daily maximum expected global geomagnetic conditions (Kp) for the coming 27 days. This is the fastest way to quickly find out what kind of geomagnetic conditions are to be expected over the next 27 days. These predictions are updated weekly by the NOAA SWPC.
The best place to observe the aurora is under an oval shaped region between the north and south latitudes of about 60 and 75 degrees. At these polar latitudes, the aurora can be observed more than half of the nights of a given year.
Aug 22, 2022 · Short Term Aurora Forecast. Using measurements of the solar wind just upstream of Earth, the Aurora 30-minute Forecast provides the likelihood of aurora overhead for the next 30 minutes. This animation also shows last 24 hours of estimated auroral activity.
Products. 27-Day Outlook of 10.7 cm Radio Flux and Geomagnetic Indices. 3-Day Forecast. 3-Day Geomagnetic Forecast. ACE Ground Station Tracking Plots. ACE Real-Time Solar Wind. Alerts, Watches and Warnings. Aurora - 30 Minute Forecast.
Jun 20, 2024 · published: Monday, June 24, 2024 13:41 UTC. Solar flare potential remains elevated, with R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) events still likely 20-23 June, 2024. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. National Weather Service. National Centers for Environmental Prediction. Space Weather Prediction Center. 325 Broadway, Boulder CO 80305. Disclaimer.
The OVATION Aurora Forecast Model shows the intensity and location of the aurora predicted for the time shown at the top of the map. This probability forecast is based on current solar wind conditions measured at L1, but using a fixed 30-minute delay time between L1 and Earth.
Oct 26, 2020 · The Space Weather Prediction Center is pleased to announce the operational release of improved 30 minute auroral prediction maps beginning October 28th. These maps are based on the OVATION-2013 model, which has an expanded range of geomagnetic activity coverage.
