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  1. May 20, 2022 · Any rise in social unrest could pose a risk to the global economy’s recovery, as it can have a lasting impact on economic performance. In a paper last year, IMF staff showed that unrest can have a negative economic impact as consumers become spooked by uncertainty and output is lost in manufacturing and services. As a result, 18 months after ...

  2. However, a new body of IMF staff research is filling this gap by analyzing the risks and economic costs of social unrest. Measuring unrest. A key challenge when researching social unrest—defined as protests, riots, and other forms of civil disorder and conflict—is identifying when such events have occurred.

  3. Jul 16, 2021 · Social unrest can be caused by frustrations ranging from governments’ handling of the current crisis to mounting inequality and corruption. IMF research has shown the economic costs of these events and its impact on economic recovery.

  4. Dec 11, 2020 · Using econometric analysis, we show that past major pandemics led to a significant increase in social unrest in the medium term, by reducing growth and increasing inequality. Higher social unrest, in turn, is associated with lower growth, which worsens inequality, forming a vicious cycle.

  5. www.oecd.org › en › publicationsSocial Unrest | OECD

    This report develops a framework for analysing social unrest within a complex understanding of systemic risk, identifying triggers and drivers for the emergence of social unrest and, based on this functional analysis, to design policy options for dealing with it.

  6. 5 days ago · In 2007, an army-backed interim government imposed curfews in six of the country’s largest cities to quash unrest by students demanding an end to emergency rule. The curfew cleared the cities of ...

  7. Nov 30, 2022 · 30 Nov 2022. Global wages fell in 2022 for the first time since the global financial crisis due to soaring living costs, threatening to worsen inequality and drive social unrest, the United...

  8. Mar 23, 2022 · Our dependent variables capture six forms of social unrest: riots, strikes, assassinations, anti-government demonstrations, guerrillas and revolutions. With the partial exception of guerrillas and revolutions, all of these represent relatively small-scale forms of conflict.

  9. Jan 29, 2020 · Countries that are unable to suppress mobilization are especially likely to experience social unrest, according to the political-opportunity theory.

  10. Aug 10, 2023 · Protests seem contagious when they erupt in several countries at the same time. But new research shows that unrest rarely spreads. It’s protest symbols, like France’s yellow vests, that go global.

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