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Sep 14, 2023 · Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online G Elliott Morris on Twitter: " The difference between Biden’s margin in the Electoral College tipping point state (likely PA, others possible) and the national popular vote is closer to 1.5 points in our forecast today today, vs 3.8 last time."
I typically use fivethirtyeight's March Madness predictor to help me win my family's pool every year. I'm going to pay the $8 for the Nate's analysis/predictions, but I'll miss the old one, both for how it was to navigate, how it would update in real time and for how it would tell you how exciting a game was.
Sep 18, 2023 · Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. 538 website redesigned to integrate into ABC News. Not just redesigned, fivethirtyeight.com is dead and redirects to a vertical on ABC News. And it sucks.
Jun 23, 2023 · DARKO has daily box predictions for the NBA, nothing seasonal though. It’s the best all-in-one metric for the NBA and is built off Bayesian box score estimates and RAPM – really nice methodology section. Basketball Index has imo the 2nd best all-in-one metric and use it to make daily, seasonal, and post-season projections. 3.
Welcome to the Weekly Polling Megathread, your repository for all news stories of the best of the rest polls. The top 25 pollsters by the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings are allowed to be posted as their own separate discussion thread. Currently the top 25 are: Rank. Pollster.
Mar 11, 2024 · I relied on the 538 bracket forecast for over a decade. My 538-based brackets were usually in the top 85th+ percentile nationally, and I won several local contests. I assuming it will not return this year. Are you all aware of any similar march madness forecasts?
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. My Breakdown of the 13 Keys - June Update. We're now in June and here's how the 13 Keys stand from my perspective... Party Mandate - The incumbent party lost seats in the previous midterms, so this key is FALSE.
Mar 8, 2024 · Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. 538 drops Rasmussen Reports from its analysis. Oh this is why Biden's approval suddenly dropped over the last week on the aggregate for 538; I noticed Rasmussen being gone from the latest polls for approval and I guess I know why.
Feb 1, 2016 · Tetragrammaton • 9 yr. ago. Also, the most important thing to note is that FiveThirtyEight gives probabilistic predictions. For instance, their "polls-plus" prediction for the Iowa caucuses says that Trump has a 46% chance of winning the most votes, while Cruz has a 39% chance of winning. This often gets reported as "they're predicting Trump ...
r/fivethirtyeight: Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Press J to jump to the feed. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts
