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  1. The FiveThirtyEight politics chat is a very manipulative format for political commentary. I'm talking about these c hat transcripts. Now, I really actually don't know if these are legit chat transcripts. It seems unlikely, as everything is in paragraph form and there are working links. But it really is genius in how manipulative it is.

  2. Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online John Curtis wins the GOP nomination for UT-SEN to succeed Mitt Romney, defeating Trump-endorsed Trent Staggs

  3. Aug 18, 2021 · RealClearPolitics (RCP) version seems to average the last few polls and charts it. There doesn't seem to be editorializing other than they don't let the same pollster represent themselves twice in the averaging the calculation.

  4. Nov 8, 2023 · Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney (D) will launch Virginia gubernatorial run by end of year — Stoney has already hired several top campaign officials.

  5. Nov 18, 2023 · Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. Members Online Sen. Joe Manchin to skip a big White House event as he considers running against Biden — Manchin recently had dinner with one of Biden's top aides in an attempt by the White House to ensure the president is not caught off guard when the senator breaks with him.

  6. Jan 31, 2023 · Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. Really frustrated with this episode tbh. I like that 538 highlights local races and more obscure statewide contests, but 30 minutes on well tread ground regarding next years primary and 5 minutes on the Chicago mayor’s race seems like a bit much when the Louisiana and Mississippi governors ...

  7. Pollster ratings, Silver Bulletin style. Genuinely surprised that Nate is sticking with a B-rating for Rasmussen given their recent trending towards hard-R bias. Bias and rating are two different metrics. Rasmussen is one of the best pollsters when polls overfavor democrats, and one of the worst when polls overfavor republicans.

  8. Jun 23, 2023 · DARKO has daily box predictions for the NBA, nothing seasonal though. It’s the best all-in-one metric for the NBA and is built off Bayesian box score estimates and RAPM – really nice methodology section. Basketball Index has imo the 2nd best all-in-one metric and use it to make daily, seasonal, and post-season projections. 3.

  9. Mar 8, 2024 · Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. 538 drops Rasmussen Reports from its analysis. Oh this is why Biden's approval suddenly dropped over the last week on the aggregate for 538; I noticed Rasmussen being gone from the latest polls for approval and I guess I know why.

  10. Category 1: politics as self-interest. Category 2: politics as fashion. It’s amazing that these clowns can’t understand that there’s a third category, one which most people fit into: Category 3: politics as morality and desire for a better world. Fuck Nate Silver and all the genocidal scumbags who think like he does.

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