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1. theconversation.com › 2024-us-presidential2024 US presidential election: can we believe the polls?

   theconversation.com › 2024-us-presidential

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   6 days ago · Major election polls got it wrong in 2016 and again in 2020. The fault lies with the complexity of the American system and also with certain shortcomings of the polling institutes themselves.

2. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2024-election-forecastWho Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2024-election-forecast

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   1 day ago · The probability of each outcome below, according to our simulations. Harris wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 14 out of 100. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 4 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 34 out of 100.

   • Author: G. Elliott Morris

3. Videos

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     The Poll Numbers Are In And Trump Has Commanding Lead While The Rest Battle For Second Place

     Dec 7, 2023

     9K Views

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     2024 presidential race | Look at the poll numbers

     Sep 2, 2024

     20.1K Views

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     Democrats respond to recent 2024 polling

     Sep 25, 2023

     29.7K Views

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4. www.pewresearch.org › short-reads › 2024/08/01Many Americans are confident the 2024 election will be ...

   www.pewresearch.org › short-reads › 2024/08/01

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   Aug 1, 2024 · Americans are generally confident that this fall’s presidential election will be conducted fairly and accurately. Yet Republicans and those who lean toward the GOP are far less confident of this than Democrats and Democratic leaners, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted July 1-7, 2024. Overall, 61% of Americans say they are ...

   • Author: Hannah Hartig

5. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › presidentPresident: general election : 2024 Polls - FiveThirtyEight

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › president

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   1 day ago · Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024.

6. www.nytimes.com › elections › polls-presidentElection 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump - The New York Times

   www.nytimes.com › elections › polls-president

   1 day ago · 47% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. The presidential race just keeps getting tighter. With three weeks to go, The New York Times’s polling average shows Kamala ...

7. www.270towin.com › 2024-presidential-election-polls2024 Presidential Election Polls: Harris vs. Trump - 270toWin

   www.270towin.com › 2024-presidential-election-polls

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   This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the ...

8. People also ask

   Which presidential election polls are used in 2024?

   • Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the candidate names. For legacy polling, visit the Biden vs. Trump page.

   2024 Presidential Election Polls: Harris vs. Trump - 270toWin

   www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/

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   How do polling averages change in 2024?

   • Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. 95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page.

   President: general election : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/

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   Are polling errors affecting our 2024 polling averages?

   • A polling average is the best way to understand the state of play in a presidential race, but as we know from previous presidential cycles, the polls aren’t always right. Take a look at how polling errors in the past three presidential elections would affect our current 2024 polling averages. Polling model by Lenny Bronner and Diane Napolitano.

   Harris vs. Trump 2024 presidential polls: Who is ahead? - Washington P…

   www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2024/presidential-polling-averages/

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   Are Americans confident about the 2024 presidential election?

   • About three-quarters of Americans (76%) say they are confident about this, a modest increase since 2020. Between 2020 and 2022, Democrats’ and Republicans’ views about the accuracy of elections shifted. Today, partisan expectations about the 2024 presidential election are roughly on par with views during the 2022 midterms.

   Majorities are confident 2024 election will be fair, but Republicans

   www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/08/01/many-americans-are-confident-the-2024-election-will-be-conducted-fairly-but-wide-partisan-differences-remain/

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   Are Republicans more confident than Democrats in the 2024 presidential election?

   • Americans are generally confident that this fall’s presidential election will be conducted fairly and accurately. Yet Republicans and those who lean toward the GOP are far less confident of this than Democrats and Democratic leaners, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted July 1-7, 2024.

   Majorities are confident 2024 election will be fair, but Republicans

   www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/08/01/many-americans-are-confident-the-2024-election-will-be-conducted-fairly-but-wide-partisan-differences-remain/

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   What are partisan expectations about the 2024 presidential election?

   • Today, partisan expectations about the 2024 presidential election are roughly on par with views during the 2022 midterms. Currently, Democrats are 30 percentage points more likely than Republicans to express confidence that the presidential election will be conducted fairly (77% vs. 47%).

   Majorities are confident 2024 election will be fair, but Republicans

   www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/08/01/many-americans-are-confident-the-2024-election-will-be-conducted-fairly-but-wide-partisan-differences-remain/

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9. www.washingtonpost.com › elections › interactiveWho is ahead in Harris vs. Trump 2024 presidential polls ...

   www.washingtonpost.com › elections › interactive

   3 days ago · What’s changed: We’ve added a new set of national polls recently, but the race remains mostly unchanged for now — slightly closer than it was a week ago. Vice President Kamala Harris leads ...