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1. nymag.com › intelligencer › articleFour Good Reasons Democrats Fear the 2024 Election

   nymag.com › intelligencer › article

   13 hours ago · To be clear, the national polls weren’t far off in 2016; the problem was that sparse public polling of key states didn’t alert Democrats to the possibility Trump might pull an Electoral ...

2. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2024-election-forecastWho Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2024-election-forecast

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   1 day ago · Latest updates. For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes.

   • Author: G. Elliott Morris

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4. www.pewresearch.org › short-reads › 2024/08/01Majorities are confident 2024 election will be fair, but ...

   www.pewresearch.org › short-reads › 2024/08/01

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   Aug 1, 2024 · Yet Republicans and those who lean toward the GOP are far less confident of this than Democrats and Democratic leaners, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted July 1-7, 2024. Overall, 61% of Americans say they are very or somewhat confident the election will be conducted fairly and accurately. These views have changed little since ...

   • Author: Hannah Hartig

5. www.nbcnews.com › politics › 2024-electionWhat early-voting data tells us about how Democrats and ...

   www.nbcnews.com › politics › 2024-election

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   2 days ago · What weeks of early-voting data tell us about how Democrats and Republicans are turning out in 2024 As some battleground states start early voting, Virginia has been going for weeks.

6. www.bbc.com › news › articlesUS election polls tracker 2024: Who is ahead - Harris or Trump?

   www.bbc.com › news › articles

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   Sep 9, 2024 · Voters in the US go to the polls on 5 November to elect their next president. The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in July when President Joe Biden ended his campaign ...

7. news.gallup.com › poll › 651185Partisan Split on Election Integrity Gets Even Wider

   news.gallup.com › poll › 651185

   Sep 25, 2024 · Politics. September 25, 2024. Partisan Split on Election Integrity Gets Even Wider. Majorities of Democrats and independents still trust the vote, while Republican confidence dwindles. by Lydia Saad. WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Fifty-seven percent of Americans say they are very or somewhat confident that the votes for president this year will be ...

8. People also ask

   Are Republicans more confident than Democrats in the 2024 presidential election?

   • Americans are generally confident that this fall’s presidential election will be conducted fairly and accurately. Yet Republicans and those who lean toward the GOP are far less confident of this than Democrats and Democratic leaners, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted July 1-7, 2024.

   Majorities are confident 2024 election will be fair, but Republicans

   www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/08/01/many-americans-are-confident-the-2024-election-will-be-conducted-fairly-but-wide-partisan-differences-remain/

   See all results for this question

   Are Democrats confident in the 2024 election?

   • Two-thirds of Democrats ages 18 to 29 are at least somewhat confident, compared with 87% of those 65 and older. In addition, White Democrats are far more likely than Black and Hispanic Democrats to say they are confident the 2024 election will be conducted fairly and accurately.

   Majorities are confident 2024 election will be fair, but Republicans

   www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/08/01/many-americans-are-confident-the-2024-election-will-be-conducted-fairly-but-wide-partisan-differences-remain/

   See all results for this question

   Are Americans confident about the 2024 presidential election?

   • About three-quarters of Americans (76%) say they are confident about this, a modest increase since 2020. Between 2020 and 2022, Democrats’ and Republicans’ views about the accuracy of elections shifted. Today, partisan expectations about the 2024 presidential election are roughly on par with views during the 2022 midterms.

   Majorities are confident 2024 election will be fair, but Republicans

   www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/08/01/many-americans-are-confident-the-2024-election-will-be-conducted-fairly-but-wide-partisan-differences-remain/

   See all results for this question

   What are partisan expectations about the 2024 presidential election?

   • Today, partisan expectations about the 2024 presidential election are roughly on par with views during the 2022 midterms. Currently, Democrats are 30 percentage points more likely than Republicans to express confidence that the presidential election will be conducted fairly (77% vs. 47%).

   Majorities are confident 2024 election will be fair, but Republicans

   www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/08/01/many-americans-are-confident-the-2024-election-will-be-conducted-fairly-but-wide-partisan-differences-remain/

   See all results for this question

   What is 538's 2024 presidential election forecast model?

   • 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

   Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

   See all results for this question

   Are Americans confident the election will be conducted accurately?

   • Overall, 61% of Americans say they are very or somewhat confident the election will be conducted fairly and accurately. These views have changed little since 2022 and 2020. The public is more confident that all citizens who want to vote this fall will be able to.

   Majorities are confident 2024 election will be fair, but Republicans

   www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/08/01/many-americans-are-confident-the-2024-election-will-be-conducted-fairly-but-wide-partisan-differences-remain/

   See all results for this question

9. www.nytimes.com › interactive › 2024Election 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump - The New York Times

   www.nytimes.com › interactive › 2024

   1 day ago · In 2016 and 2020, the polls underestimated Trump. But in 2012 they underestimated the Democratic candidate, Barack Obama, and in 2022 Democrats outperformed polling averages in several key midterm ...