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- Ground ball pitchers typically do a little better on average but there are plenty of terrific fly ball pitchers as well. You can make more mistakes on balls in play if you have a high strikeout rate or a low walk rate, too, but those are related to the quality of contact you allow. And quality of contact is really what it comes down to.
library.fangraphs.com/which-is-better-a-ground-ball-pitcher-or-a-fly-ball-pitcher/Which is Better? A Ground Ball Pitcher or a Fly Ball Pitcher
May 11, 2007 · In today’s Hardball Times, Matthew Carruth did an analysis on extreme groundball pitchers and how they do not really give up more home runs-per-fly ball (HR/FB) than your typical pitcher.
- Pitch Mix and Outcomes
- Batted Ball Distribution and Outcomes
- The Importance of Velocity
- Change Through The Years
- Accommodating PITCHf/x in The Statcast Eratm
- What to Expect For 2018
Table 1 depicts pitch distribution by ground ball rate bin. Fly ball pitchers throw slightly more off-speed pitches — namely, sliders and change-ups — but not so much more often to make it noteworthy. Rather, fly ball pitchers tend to rely significantly more on four-seam fastballs; ground ball pitchers, on sinkers. From 10,000 feet, this isn’t surp...
At this point, in a vacuum, the fly ball pitchers carry the slightest advantage: they induce more whiffs and, thus, fewer balls in play, creating fewer opportunities for hitters to inflict damage upon them. Of course, not all balls in play are created equal. And, at a very basic back-of-the-trading-card level of analysis, fly ball pitchers continue...
Truth be told, velocity bears little importance upon either a pitcher’s ability to induce ground balls or a pitcher’s ability to limit home runs. The average pitcher whose fastball clocks in at any given normal fastball velocity can expect a ground ball rate between 42 percent and 44 percent and a HR/FB rate between 13.8 percent and 15.3 percent on...
Tables 9 through 12 show how the home run landscape has changed over the last decade-plus through the lens of several aforementioned advanced metrics: ISO, HR/FB, HR/BIP, and HR/AB. This longitudinal look affirms many of the axioms previously discussed. The tables reflect trends mentioned earlier. Pitchers who induce fewer ground balls allow more h...
In January, FanGraphs’/The Hardball Times’ Jeff Zimmerman converted cryptic spring training data into ground ball rates and, later, launch angles — the backbone of the modern sabermetric movement fueled by Statcast data. For the time being, ground ball rates and launch angles can peacefully cohabit the sabermetric space in which we work. In the eve...
Expect more of the same. It’s outside my scope to predict what will happen to the structural integrity of baseballs next season, but it’d be unwise betting against Commissioner Rob Manfred to issue an order to de-juice them. That said, the amount of juice in the balls doesn’t change facts that have withstood the test of time (and external, juicy fo...
- Alex Chamberlain
For instance, your first inclination might be to say that flyball pitchers are better than groundball pitchers (more outs per batted ball) but then you’d realize that flyballs are most...
If you've got a tiny or homer-prone park (Cincy, Colorado) then you might want to stay away from extreme flyball pitchers, but flyball and neutral should be fine. I've had a lot of success with the combination of a flyball pitcher, great outfield defence and large ballpark.
Jun 18, 2019 · We will examine the numbers of the Top 20 most extreme ground-ballers and the Top 20 most extreme fly-ballers among starting pitchers. For at least 15 years, ground-ball pitchers have had...
it’s both. a primarily heavy sinker pitcher tends to induce more ground balls because sinkers get thrown low and break down, which have hitters get on top of them.
