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Oct 17, 2024 · The Vikings are Super Bowl contenders thanks to a QB nobody else wanted. Sam Darnold, a former No. 1 draft pick now on his fourth team, has Minnesota undefeated through six weeks. He's drawing ...
- Rohan Nadkarni
- 3 min
Nov 13, 2022 · Nov 13, 2022. Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports. If you weren’t a believer at 4-1, 5-1, 6-1, or 7-1, it’s time to realize the 8-1 Minnesota Vikings are bonafide Super Bowl contenders. The Vikings downed the Buffalo Bills — the NFL’s odds-on favorite to win Super Bowl LVII — in the Bills house by a score of 33-30.
- A Closer Look at points-per-game Advantage
- Playoff and Super Bowl Contender Threshold
- What About The Offense Versus Defensive Breakdown?
- How Do The Vikings Get to This +6 PPG Differentiation?
- How Does This Get The Vikings to A Super Bowl?
- Is This Realistic?
First, we’re going to dive a bit deeper into the analytics, looking at points per game as an advantage. All we’re doing is looking at points per game (PPG) based on offense and defense (rather than a simple scoring margin). First, how much of an advantage playoff teams have gotten by scoring more pointsthan average? Second, how much of an advantage...
First, you might question, why am I looking at the points-per-game advantage? And how good does a team need to be to be a true Super Bowl contender? It probably goes without saying, but there will obviously be a correlation between scoring more and doing well. The question is more about how good a team has to be to see playoff and Super Bowl result...
Is it necessary to be good at one or the other? In sum:not really. 2021 had more offensive fireworks, but 2020 produced a great set of examples: 2020 scoring advantage: The Ravens were a balanced team, the Packers were driven by offense and the Steelers were driven by defense; all three had the profile of a Super Bowl contender. Looking at past Sup...
This is the money question. And that means this section is the part where different opinions on the team will get you to different results. Using 2021 as a starting point, the Vikings were almost exactly average. 1. Advantage from offense: +2.02 2. Advantage from defense: -2.08 3. Total disadvantage: -0.06 (0.00 would be perfectly average) For me t...
The purpose of all of this was to see if there were opportunities to improve the team. Getting a great team isn’t a matter of adding a single transcendent player, unless that player is Randy Moss and [checks depth chart] he’s not playing. To perform at a high level, the Vikings will need to work on a lot of little things. Don’t just add all these n...
I’m sure there are other opportunities (and also risks i.e. regression on deep-ball passing). The point is that the possibility is there and not as crazy as it might seem. Each of these things is realistic on its own, but it is also important to look at these in aggregate and see if they still make sense. Let’s look at the offense first. If I assum...
Dec 22, 2022 · The Minnesota Vikings are one of the best teams in the NFC, but not everyone considers them a true contender to win a Super Bowl. While they have a reputation when the lights shine brightest, this ...
- Nick Villano
Jan 15, 2023 · Most NFL teams that put together a 13-4 regular season record and head into the playoffs as the NFC's No. 3 seed would be widely labeled as a Super Bowl contender. Then again, the 2022 Vikings ...
Nov 22, 2022 · Of those teams, only the 2022 Minnesota Vikings have a negative point differential (minus-2). ... the team with the lowest point margin per game through 10 games to win the Super Bowl is the 2011 ...
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Jun 28, 2022 · The Vikings are +5000 to win the Super Bowl, tied for the 18th best odds in the NFL. And before Minnesota can be seriously considered for this conversation, it needs to pick a direction.
