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  1. 3 days ago · In 2016 and 2020, surveys in the presidential election overstated Democrats’ standing. Even though Biden won in 2020, he had been leading by more in many swing state polls than what the final ...

  2. 2 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.

  3. Interactive USA map for election results and projections. Help. ... YAPms: pres, senate, governor map outlines U.S. District Shapefiles: house map outlines ...

  4. 1 day ago · Methodology. The Economist ’s model of America’s presidential election estimates each major candidate’s chances of winning each state and the overall electoral college. Developed with a team ...

  5. Precinct Boundary and Statewide Elections Results. The Voting and Elections Science Team (on Twitter @VEST_Team) produces the most comprehensive database of precinct boundaries and associated statewide election results. The VEST data may be accessed through the Harvard Dataverse. You can explore a visualization of the 2020 presidential data here.

  6. Nov 1, 2022 · Even if predictions of higher-than-usual turnout come to pass, the United States likely will still trail many of its peers in the developed world in voting-age population turnout. In fact, when comparing turnout among the voting-age population in the 2020 presidential election against recent national elections in 49 other countries, the U.S. ranks 31st – between Colombia (62.5%) and Greece ...

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  8. 1 day ago · Latest updates. For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes.

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