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1. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › president-generalPresident: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › president-general

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   3 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.

2. newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu › research › polling-101Polling 101: How accurate are election polls? | Haas News ...

   newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu › research › polling-101

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   Aug 13, 2024 · If a poll is inaccurate, it is less likely to be due to intentional bias by pollsters, and more likely due to the inherent uncertainty in polling. You looked at polls from the 2008, 2012, and 2016 general elections, as well as primaries in 2008, 2012, and 2016. Did you find any evidence that polls accuracy has grown less accurate over time?

3. newsinteractives.cbc.ca › elections › poll-trackerPoll Tracker - CBC News

   newsinteractives.cbc.ca › elections › poll-tracker

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   4 days ago · Poll shows the pollster that conducted the survey and the media outlet (if applicable) that either commissioned the poll or first reported on it. When available, a link to the pollster’s report is provided. Weight refers to the weight (out of 100) the poll carries in the aggregation. Weight is determined by the date of the survey, the sample ...

4. Videos

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     washingtonpost.com

     What we know about the high, broad turnout in the 2020 election

     May 13, 2021

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     9:13

     youtube.com

     Poll: Voters split on party preference for midterm elections

     Jul 19, 2022

     88.8K Views

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     2:59

     youtube.com

     Where do the parties stand 3 weeks before election | Poll Tracker

     Aug 28, 2021

     24.3K Views

   View all

5. www.nytimes.com › interactive › 2024Election 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump - The New York Times

   www.nytimes.com › interactive › 2024

   1 day ago · 47% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. The presidential race just keeps getting tighter. With three weeks to go, The New York Times’s polling average shows Kamala ...

6. theconversation.com › 2024-us-presidential2024 US presidential election: can we believe the polls?

   theconversation.com › 2024-us-presidential

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   6 days ago · Only around two-thirds of citizens eligible to vote actually go to the polls. In 2016, turnout on the Democratic side was overestimated, giving the false impression that Clinton was a lock for ...

7. fivethirtyeight.com › features › 2022-electionThe Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight

   fivethirtyeight.com › features › 2022-election

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   Mar 10, 2023 · Share of polls that correctly identified the winner in the final 21 days* before presidential primary and presidential, Senate, House and gubernatorial general elections since 1998, by how close ...

8. People also ask

   Why are polls less accurate over time?

   • If a poll is inaccurate, it is less likely to be due to intentional bias by pollsters, and more likely due to the inherent uncertainty in polling. You looked at polls from the 2008, 2012, and 2016 general elections, as well as primaries in 2008, 2012, and 2016. Did you find any evidence that polls accuracy has grown less accurate over time?

   Polling 101: How accurate are election polls? | Haas News | Berkeley Haas

   newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/research/polling-101-how-accurate-are-election-polls/

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   How have polling trends changed in July 2023?

   • Polling trends have been stable for most of the last year, but took a dramatic shift in July 2023 when the Conservatives moved decisively ahead in national voting intentions. The Conservatives have consistently led by a margin of 15 to 20 points since the beginning of this year. Column one arranges the polls according to their geographic region.

   Poll Tracker | CBC News

   newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada/

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   Are the polls accurate in 2022?

   • Despite a loud chorus of naysayers claiming that the polls were either underestimating Democratic support or biased yet again against Republicans, the polls were more accurate in 2022 than in any cycle since at least 1998, with almost no bias toward either party. Of course, some pollsters were more accurate than others.

   The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight

   fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-election-polling-accuracy/

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   Was 2022 a banner year for polling?

   • We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since 1998, 2 using three lenses — error, “calls” and statistical bias — to conclude that 2022 was a banner year for polling.

   The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight

   fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-election-polling-accuracy/

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   How close were polls in 2022?

   • So for 2022, the only substantive lesson we can glean from this metric is that polls were historically close — something we already knew! In fact, 55 percent of the polls we analyzed for last cycle were closer than 6 points.

   The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight

   fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-election-polling-accuracy/

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   Should polls be 95% accurate a week before an election?

   • In your paper, you conclude that in order for polls to be 95% accurate just a week before an election, they should double the margin of error they report. Give an example. Kotak: Let’s say a candidate is polling at 54% a week before the election, with a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3%.

   Polling 101: How accurate are election polls? | Haas News | Berkeley Haas

   newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/research/polling-101-how-accurate-are-election-polls/

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9. www.bbc.com › news › articlesUS election polls: Who is ahead - Harris or Trump? - BBC

   www.bbc.com › news › articles

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   Sep 9, 2024 · Voters in the US go to the polls on 5 November to elect their next president. The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in July when President Joe Biden ended his campaign ...