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1 day ago · Latest updates. For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes.
- Explore The Ways Trump Or Harris Could Win The 2024 Election
There is a less than 1 out of 100 chance of no Electoral...
- Explore The Ways Trump Or Harris Could Win The 2024 Election
Oct 10, 2024 · Oct. 10, 2024 3 AM PT. Former President Trump has little hope of winning California, the poll found. Just 5% of those polled were undecided. The vice president leads Trump among California Latinos ...
21 hours ago · Election 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump. Updated Oct. 19, 2024. ... Both Harris and Trump have states they can probably count on to get at least 200 electoral votes, but they need to get to 270 to ...
Sep 9, 2024 · There is a less than 1 out of 100 chance of no Electoral College winner. In this scenario, Harris wins 52 out of 100 times. In this scenario, Trump wins 48 out of 100 times. How this works: We start with the more than 30,000 simulations that our election forecast runs every time it updates. When you choose the winner of a state or district, we ...
21 hours ago · Methodology and sources. We use head-to-head presidential election polls in each state to calculate both an average voting intention and a range of likely values for Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. States are considered ‘tossups’ if a candidate’s polling average lead is less than 5 percentage points, ‘leaning’ if it is between 5 and ...
1 day ago · Republican Party. 45.8 46.7 47.5. T he race for the White House is in its last weeks. Early voting has begun in several states, including key battlegrounds like Arizona and Georgia. The two major ...
2 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.
