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2 days ago · Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast.
3 days ago · According to the updated prediction, the Democratic candidate is expected to win 30 states and Washington, D.C., securing a total of 357 electoral votes, while the Republican candidate is projected to win 21 states, amounting to 181 electoral votes.
2 days ago · Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Harris wins 55 times out of 100
- G. Elliott Morris
4 days ago · View the latest 2024 Biden Trump Presidential forecast predictions and create your own 2024 election prediction map.
Sep 9, 2024 · The big question now is - will America get its first woman president or a second Donald Trump term? As election day approaches, we'll be keeping track of the polls and seeing what effect the ...
Oct 4, 2024 · An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.
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The map is interactive. Use it to create and share your 2024 presidential election forecast. October 1: Ranges (see above) for each category narrowed. Polling should be more predictive as the election draws near. Prior ranges were <5% for Toss-up, <10% Leaning, <15% Likely.
