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The fog of war (German: Nebel des Krieges) is the uncertainty in situational awareness experienced by participants in military operations. [1] The term seeks to capture the uncertainty regarding one's own capability, adversary capability, and adversary intent during an engagement, operation, or campaign. Military forces try to reduce the fog of ...
Sep 10, 2022 · Sorting Through the Noise. It will be necessary for the modern strategist and military commander, regardless of which domain in which they operate, to be comfortable with the inherent fallibility of their tools. While sophisticated algorithms can generate convincingly granular models of reality, commanders should always maintain a healthy ...
This is contrary to the military focus on technologically ‘lifting’ the Clausewitzian ‘fog of war’ Footnote 30 by finding a tech solution for gaining ultimate situational awareness. Footnote 31 Bringing ‘light’ to the ‘darkness’ of war is thereby tapping into a long-established narrative about the advantages of technological progress for seeing and knowing in the military.
- Achieving Understanding Through Cognition and Intuition
- Resilient Visualization
- Creating Fog of War Resistant Visualization in Others
- Conclusion
- Notes
Some leaders who are good at visualization are not particularly good at explaining how they did it. What follows is a possible explanation. Leaders use visualization to enable them to garner clues from the environment and predict what will happen next. This is more than just physically seeing; it is also the ability to interpret and apply meaning t...
We all know resilient people. They inspire us. They seem to soar in spite of the hardship and trauma they face. In fact, the most resilient people seek out new and challenging experiences because they have learned that it is only through struggle, through pushing themselves to their limits, that they will expand their horizons. They are not danger ...
It has been argued in previous articles on visualization that it is not some kind of magical power but is a cognitive skill that can be improved through deliberate practice and multiple repetitions.16 Additionally, some suggestions were proposed for instilling a red teaming mindset, for building Major Event Scenario Lists (MESLs), and to incorporat...
Leaders ignore or misinterpret the emergence of exceptional information at their own peril. History is replete with examples of leaders who were experts at visualization and who used that skill to anticipate competitor actions and poise their forces to achieve victory. Most of these leaders had these skills due to their own personal experience and ...
Epigraph. Malcolm Gladwell, Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking(New York: Back Bay Books, 2007), 122–23.
Its capstone doctrine publication, Warfighting (MCDP-1), argues that uncertainty is an inherent element of warfare: Another attribute of war is uncertainty. All actions in war take place in an atmosphere of uncertainty, or the "fog of war." . . . While we try to reduce these unknowns by gathering information, we must realize that we cannot ...
May 2, 2024 · The classification and declassification of an armed conflict can be conceptualized as four concrete steps: (1) collecting factual information, (2) analyzing the information for accuracy and completeness, and (3) applying the IHL legal criteria for determining the existence of an armed conflict to those facts, to then (4) draw a conclusion.
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Sep 29, 2024 · Emerging weapon technologies have therefore failed to provide clarity about the balance of forces and conditions on the ground––two pathways to reducing the fog of war.
