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  1. 1 day ago · Latest updates. For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes.

    • G. Elliott Morris
  2. 2024 Presidential Election Polls. Discover our public data, featuring a diverse range of survey results, articles, trackers and popularity rankings. From the latest political surveys to in-depth analysis, find out what the world thinks. Get intelligence from our ever-growing source of consumer data on 27 million+ registered panel members in 55 ...

  3. 1 day ago · 47% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. The presidential race just keeps getting tighter. With three weeks to go, The New York Times’s polling average shows Kamala ...

  4. 1 day ago · Voters in the US go to the polls on 5 November to elect their next president. The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in July when President Joe Biden ended his campaign ...

  5. 2 days ago · On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

  6. Browse our latest insights on Election 2024. Request a Gallup media expert on this topic. 01 Incumbent Presidential Job Approval Current president's job approval rating. 02 U.S. Satisfaction Public satisfaction with the way things are going in the country. 03 Economic Confidence Americans' assessments of the economy.

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  8. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the ...