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Independent Sales Consultant · Experience: Oklahoma Business Forms · Location: Oklahoma City · 162 connections on LinkedIn. View Ron Skrasek’s profile on LinkedIn, a professional community of ...
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- Evaluating Our Presidential Forecasts
- Evaluating Our Congressional Forecast
- The Biggest Upsets of 2020
- Quick Thoughts on Model Changes For 2022
Next, let’s break out the numbers for the presidential race specifically: The sample sizes aren’t really large enough here to say much about calibration, although for what it’s worth the model did decently enough, getting two of the three toss-up races right along with four of the six “lean” races. It also got all of the “likely” and “solid” foreca...
Let’s turn back to our congressional forecast, and compare the Lite, Classic and Deluxe versions of our model. We sometimes describe the Lite forecast as being “polls only,” although as I’ll explain in a moment, that undersells it to some degree. But the Classic forecast layers in a whole bunch of additional data that Lite does not use, such as fun...
Speaking of upsets, the next table contains a comprehensive list of upsets: Any race that any version of any of our models got wrong: One thing to note is that there weren’t any particularly remarkable upsets such as a 50-to-1 or 100-to-1 longshot winning. No candidate with less than a five percent chance of winning won, and only two candidates wit...
At the end of each election cycle, I like to consider what changes we might make to our models in forthcoming cycles. I’ll be brief here, since I’ve already touched on most of these. One set of questions is concerned with how reliable the polling will be going forward and what changes we might make in response to that. The changes we made to our po...
NFL teams that have fired their coach mid-season have seen a 14% increase in win rate the first week after firing a head coach and covered the spread 18% more often (54% of the time after firing). After canning Saleh, I like the Jets +2.5 this week. Expert Pick: Mitch Bannon. Wilson U 62.5 Rec Yards. -120.
- No, as nice as that would be, unfortunately NFL computer picks do not always guarantee a winning wager at your favorite NFL betting site online. If...
- You should consider choosing NFL computer picks because there’s no human influence, which means there’s no personal bias at play. NFL computer pick...
- For some bettors, NFL picks services might be worth it. For other bettors, sports picks services may not be worth it. If you don’t have a full gras...
Nov 3, 2020 · Nov. 3, 2020. Our 2020 forecasts — presidential, Senate, House — are all now officially frozen, meaning we won’t be ingesting any new polls or updating the odds in any race. Instead, follow along on our Election Day Live blog as we track results in real-time. At the end of a loooooong campaign, here’s where we stand: Joe Biden is ...
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Ron uses the cellphone number (918) 260-0617 (New Cingular Wireless Pcs, LLC). Residents of 73099 pay approximately $1,060 a month for a 2-bedroom unit. The popularity rank for the name Ron was 2965 in the US in 2020, the Social Security Administration's data shows
