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1 day ago · Latest updates. For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes.
- G. Elliott Morris
1 day ago · Republican Party. 45.8 46.7 47.5. T he race for the White House is in its last weeks. Early voting has begun in several states, including key battlegrounds like Arizona and Georgia. The two major ...
2 days ago · 🕒 Last update: 12:30 p.m., Thursday, October 17. The Electoral College race remains as close to 50/50 as it gets. But with some good polls for Trump entering our database today, like a 2-point lead in a high-quality national poll and a big lead in Georgia (though he trails in North Carolina in the same Quinnipiac poll), if you squint at the probabilities, you’ll see Trump 50.2%, Harris 49.5%.
1 day ago · 47% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. The presidential race just keeps getting tighter. With three weeks to go, The New York Times’s polling average shows Kamala ...
1 day ago · Last updated on October 18th 2024. Simulated elections*. Kamala Harris wins 54 in 100 times. ↓ 1 since yesterday ↑ 3 in past 7 days. 203 203 366 366 172 172 335 335 273 273 265 265. Donald ...
Sep 12, 2024 · WASHINGTON, Sept 24 (Reuters) - Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 47% to 40% in the race to win the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election, as she appeared to blunt ...
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1 day ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Aug. 1, 2024 Sept. 1 Oct. 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Harris 48.6% Trump 46.0% Oct. 16, 2024 leader Oct. 16, 2024 leader Harris Harris +2.6. KEY.
