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Mar 24, 2022 · The better the forecast, the higher the HSS. (4) The HSS for the 2021-2022 winter temperature outlook was 21 for the contiguous United States which rose to 26 if we only looked at areas where forecasters favored one category over the others (aka only areas that weren’t forecast for equal chances).
Sep 17, 2024 · The AER winter forecast which incorporates Arctic predictors performed exceptionally well in winter 2020/21. Winter Forecasts The climate community focuses on El Niño/Southern Oscillation or ENSO in making seasonal forecasts and a La Niña event was predicted by the models for winter 2020/21 and therefore ENSO was a strong factor in the winter dynamical forecasts.
Mar 23, 2021 · News. Latest projections of future climate now available. Date: 23rd March 2021. The next generation of climate projections for the coming decades is now available in the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S*) Climate Data Store (CDS). Called CMIP6, the projections cover the entire globe and will underpin the next Intergovernmental Panel on ...
Climate projections. Climate projections are simulations of Earth’s climate for future decades (typically until 2100) based on assumed 'scenarios' for the concentrations of greenhouse gases, aerosols, and other atmospheric constituents that affect the planet’s radiative balance. Climate projections are obtained by running numerical models ...
Predictions of Future Global Climate. Scientists from around the world serve as part of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). These scientists have found that from 1900-2020, the world's surface air temperature increased an average of 1.1° Celsius (nearly 2°F) due to burning fossil fuels that releases carbon dioxide and other ...
Climate trends and projections. The climate is changing and impacting Canadians. Human influences are changing the chemistry of the Earth, which is causing increases in average global temperatures. Related effects vary by region and include more hot extremes, less cold extremes, more heavy downpours and potentially higher occurrence of flooding ...
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What are initialized climate predictions?
Apr 13, 2021 · Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for up to 10 years.
