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    • Understanding P-Values and Statistical Significance
      • Remember, a p-value doesn’t tell you if the null hypothesis is true or false. It just tells you how likely you’d see the data you observed (or more extreme data) if the null hypothesis was true. It’s a piece of evidence, not a definitive proof.
      www.simplypsychology.org/p-value.html
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  2. Oct 13, 2023 · The p-value in statistics quantifies the evidence against a null hypothesis. A low p-value suggests data is inconsistent with the null, potentially favoring an alternative hypothesis. Common significance thresholds are 0.05 or 0.01.

    • Effect Size

      A lower p-value is sometimes interpreted as meaning there is...

    • Statistics

      A p-value less than 0.05 (typically ≤ 0.05) is statistically...

  3. Sep 23, 2024 · A p-value is the probability of obtaining results at least as extreme as those observed, assuming that the null hypothesis is true. In our blood pressure example, the p-value would answer the question: If the medication truly had no effect (null hypothesis), what’s the probability we would see a reduction in blood pressure as large as (or ...

    • Hypothesis Testing
    • How to Interpret A P-Value
    • How Not to Interpret A P-Value
    • Examples of Interpreting P-Values

    To understand p-values, we first need to understand the concept of hypothesis testing. A hypothesis testis a formal statistical test we use to reject or fail to reject some hypothesis. For example, we may hypothesize that a new drug, method, or procedure provides some benefit over a current drug, method, or procedure. To test this, we can conduct a...

    The textbook definition of a p-value is: For example, suppose a factory claims that they produce tires that have a mean weight of 200 pounds. An auditor hypothesizes that the true mean weight of tires produced at this factory is different from 200 pounds so he runs a hypothesis test and finds that the p-value of the test is 0.04. Here is how to int...

    The biggest misconception about p-values is that they are equivalent to the probability of making a mistake by rejecting a true null hypothesis (known as a Type I error). There are two primary reasons that p-values can’t be the error rate: 1. P-values are calculated based on the assumption that the null hypothesis is true and that the difference be...

    The following examples illustrate correct ways to interpret p-values in the context of hypothesis testing.

  4. Sep 25, 2024 · A p-value measures the probability of obtaining the observed results, assuming that the null hypothesis is true. The lower the p-value, the greater the statistical significance of the...

    • Brian Beers
    • 2 min
  5. Apr 18, 2017 · Low P-values: Your sample results are not consistent with a null hypothesis. If your P value is small enough, you can conclude that your sample is so incompatible with the null hypothesis that you can reject the null for the entire population. P-values are an integral part of inferential statistics because they help you use your sample to draw ...

  6. Sep 29, 2017 · The P values only mean the probability of accepting thenull hypothesis’, and do not mean the probability of accepting the ‘study hypothesis’. Even P < 0.05 cannot support the researchers' arguments.