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EIU forecasts that the global economy will continue to skirt a recession, growing by 2.3% in 2024 - the same rate as estimated in 2023. Faster growth in Europe (led by Germany) will counteract softer US expansion in 2024, while moderate stimulus will stabilise China’s economy.
- Overview. Global recovery remains slow, with growing regional divergences and little margin for policy error. The baseline forecast is for global growth to slow from 3.5 percent in 2022 to 3.0 percent in 2023 and 2.9 percent in 2024, well below the historical (2000–19) average of 3.8 percent.
- Projections Table. Download Data.
- Chapters in the Report. Chapter 1: Global Prospects and Policies. Divergent growth prospects across the world’s regions pose a challenge to returning to prepandemic output trends.
- Statistical Appendix. Statistical Appendix: Data assumptions, conventions, and classifications. Statistical Appendix Table A: Key Global Economic Indicators.
Median CPI inflation for the G20 countries fell to 3.9% in October 2023 after peaking at 7.7% in July 2022, and we expect further deceleration in coming months. Our forecasts see world inflation averaging 5.0% in 2024 and 3.9% in 2025, down from an estimated 6.5% in 2023 and 8.0% in 2022.
The median forecast of global growth sets at 2.1% in 2023, a downward revision from the projected 2022 at 2.9% (Figure 1). Asian countries like India and some southeast Asian countries are expected to support global growth. The macroeconomic outlook is uncertain and risks to the global economy remain skewed to the downside
Sep 24, 2024 · Global growth is forecast to slow from 6.0 percent in 2021 to 3.2 percent in 2022 and 2.7 percent in 2023. This is the weakest growth profile since 2001 except for the global financial crisis and the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic.
We anticipate GDP growth will rebound from around 2.9% in 2022 to 4.0% in 2023, providing a welcome offset to the lackluster global backdrop. Upside potential to global growth and inflation from a more rapid relaxation of zero-COVID-19 policies is worth monitoring.
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Global growth is forecast to slow from 3.5 percent in 2022 to 3.0 percent in 2023 and 2.9 percent in 2024. The projections remain below the historical (2000–19) average of 3.8 percent, and the forecast for 2024 is down by 0.1 percentage point from the July 2023. Update to the World Economic Outlook.
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related to: what is the forecast for global growth in 2023 year calendar pdf freeDive Deep into Global Economic Dynamics with Comprehensive Insights by EY-Parthenon. EY-Parthenon Global Economy Insights Provide You With an Understanding of Economic Forces.
