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revised up to 1.4% and is expected to grow by 1.2% in 2025. World Oil Demand The global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 remains unchanged at 2.2 mb/d, with the OECD growing by around 0.3 mb/d and the non-OECD by about 2.0 mb/d. The global oil demand growth in 2025 is expected to see a robust growth of 1.8 mb/d, y-o-y.
4 days ago · World oil demand is on track to expand by just shy of 900 kb/d in 2024 and close to 1 mb/d in 2025, marking a sharp slowdown on the roughly 2 mb/d seen over the 2022-2023 post-pandemic period. China underpins the deceleration in growth, accounting for around 20% of global gains both this year and next year, compared to almost 70% in 2023.
There is wide range of estimates of the point at which oil demand is likely to peak. Some projections suggest global oil demand could peak soon after 2025, others expect demand to continue to grow out to 2040 and beyond. Indeed, different projections from the same organisation can point to quite different estimates depending on the assumptions ...
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4 days ago · In addition, global oil inventories are much lower today, currently standing at 4.4 billion barrels — the lowest on record since January 2017. Overall, J.P. Morgan Commodities Research forecasts Brent could average $80/bbl in the fourth quarter of 2024 and $75/bbl in 2025, declining to the low $60s by end-2025.
We forecast that global consumption of liquid fuels will increase by 0.9 million b/d in 2024 and 1.3 million b/d in 2025. Our 2024 forecast is down from last month due to downward revisions to demand in China and our 2025 forecast is down primarily because of downward revisions to demand in OECD countries.
Feb 26, 2021 · Long-term up to 2040. Long-term equilibrium oil prices have decreased by $10 to $15/bbl compared with pre-COVID-19 outlooks, as driven by a flattening cost curve and lower demand. Under an OPEC-control scenario, in which OPEC maintains its market share, we see a $50 to $60/bbl equilibrium price range in the long term, fueling 10 to 11 MMb/d US ...
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consumption in 2025, we have kept our forecast 2025 growth rate largely unchanged. We forecast China’s petroleum and liquid fuels consumption will grow by about 0.1 million b/d in 2024 and 0.3 million b/d in 2025. We reduced our forecast of total OECD oil consumption by 0.2 million b/d in 2025 compared with last