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Jun 25, 2024 · The Reality of Russian Resilience. Writing in May in Foreign Affairs, Michael Liebreich, Lauri Myllyvirta, and Sam Winter-Levy argued that Ukraine should keep launching drone attacks on Russian oil refineries—and that the United States should not discourage it from doing so. They cited declines in Russia’s refined oil exports and export ...
- Sergey Vakulenko
Jun 25, 2024 · The bulk of the current analysis of the attacks on refineries is celebratory, with a strong element of confirmation bias—and that is a classical folly that prevents learning. Russia’s refining sector, unlike its Black Sea Fleet, has proven to be resilient to the recent type of attacks, rather than the Achilles’ heel of the Russian economy that many were hoping it would be.
act estimates are significantly higher. The IEA estimates that roughly 500-600 kb/d of Russia’s crude processing could have been lost in 1Q24 on a gross basis (not accounting for any offsets) as a result of the attacks,2 while other reports suggest that around 800-900 kb/d of primary oil refining capacity could have been knocked out by end ...
May 8, 2024 · The Ukrainian strikes have dealt a significant blow to Russia’s refining capacity, knocking out up to 900,000 barrels per day. Repairs will be slow and expensive, in part because refinery stacks—where oil is distilled into its constituent parts—are huge and complex pieces of equipment that take years to design and build, and in part because Western sanctions are hampering Russian firms ...
- Michael Liebreich
Mar 13, 2024 · Smoke rises over the Ryazan oil refinery after what Russian officials said was a Ukrainian drone strike on March 13. Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) was behind a sweeping wave of drone attacks on ...
May 29, 2024 · On May 19, a Ukrainian drone slammed into the 70,000-barrel-a-day Slavyansk oil refinery in southern Russia’s Krasnodar region, sending a fireball into the sky, according to videos circulating ...
Apr 15, 2024 · Instead of acquiescing to the U.S. requests, however, Ukraine doubled down on the strategy, striking a range of Russian facilities, including an April 2 attack on Russia’s third-largest refinery ...
