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Jun 25, 2024 · The bulk of the current analysis of the attacks on refineries is celebratory, with a strong element of confirmation bias—and that is a classical folly that prevents learning. Russia’s refining sector, unlike its Black Sea Fleet, has proven to be resilient to the recent type of attacks, rather than the Achilles’ heel of the Russian economy that many were hoping it would be.
Jun 25, 2024 · The Reality of Russian Resilience. Writing in May in Foreign Affairs, Michael Liebreich, Lauri Myllyvirta, and Sam Winter-Levy argued that Ukraine should keep launching drone attacks on Russian oil refineries—and that the United States should not discourage it from doing so. They cited declines in Russia’s refined oil exports and export ...
- Sergey Vakulenko
act estimates are significantly higher. The IEA estimates that roughly 500-600 kb/d of Russia’s crude processing could have been lost in 1Q24 on a gross basis (not accounting for any offsets) as a result of the attacks,2 while other reports suggest that around 800-900 kb/d of primary oil refining capacity could have been knocked out by end ...
May 8, 2024 · On January 19, a Ukrainian drone struck an oil depot in the town of Klintsy, in Russia’s western Bryansk region, setting four gasoline tanks on fire and igniting some 1.6 million gallons of oil. Later that week, another strike lit a fire at Rosneft’s oil refinery in Tuapse, a Russian city some 600 miles from Ukrainian-held territory.
- Michael Liebreich
Mar 22, 2024 · The US has urged Ukraine to halt attacks on Russia’s energy infrastructure, warning that the drone strikes risk driving up global oil prices and provoking retaliation, according to three people ...
Mar 13, 2024 · Ukraine has launched drone attacks on at least three oil refineries deep inside Russia, as Kyiv intensifies its cross-border strikes days before President Vladimir Putin’s anticipated re ...
May 29, 2024 · On May 19, a Ukrainian drone slammed into the 70,000-barrel-a-day Slavyansk oil refinery in southern Russia’s Krasnodar region, sending a fireball into the sky, according to videos circulating ...
