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  1. 1 day ago · Latest updates. For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes.

    • G. Elliott Morris
  2. 1 day ago · Explore Electoral College scenarios. Both Harris and Trump have states they can probably count on to get at least 200 electoral votes, but they need to get to 270 to win. Let’s zoom in on seven ...

  3. Apr 9, 2024 · As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, a “perfect storm” of threats could materialize, potentially undermining public confidence in election outcomes at wide scale. How can government officials better prepare for and respond to such a scenario?

    • Ebook
  4. Sep 9, 2024 · Voters in the US go to the polls on 5 November to elect their next president. The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in July when President Joe Biden ended his campaign ...

  5. 1 day ago · Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024.

  6. Sep 9, 2024 · The election, Harris said at her rollout event as a presidential candidate on July 23, is “about two different visions for our nation: one where we are focused on the future, the other focused ...

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  8. Sep 9, 2024 · 7. Economic ratings and concerns. As concerns around the state of the economy and inflation continue, about eight-in-ten registered voters (81%) say the economy will be very important to their vote in the 2024 presidential election. While the economy is the top issue among voters, a large majority (69%) cite at least five of the 10 issues asked ...

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