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  1. Aug 21, 2024 · That the 2024 election could devolve into violence is hardly a surprise. Last time around, in 2020, there were widespread protests, localized clashes, a plot to kidnap a governor and ultimately, the attempted disruption of the electoral vote count at the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. Since then, as written in the report, America's “national ...

  2. Apr 9, 2024 · As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, a “perfect storm” of threats could materialize, potentially undermining public confidence in election outcomes at wide scale. How can government officials better prepare for and respond to such a scenario?

    • Ebook
  3. 1 day ago · Latest updates. For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes.

    • G. Elliott Morris
  4. Sep 9, 2024 · The election, Harris said at her rollout event as a presidential candidate on July 23, is “about two different visions for our nation: one where we are focused on the future, the other focused ...

  5. 1 day ago · Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024.

  6. 3 days ago · Scenario analysis. Trump with a Republican Senate and Democratic House. With major fiscal policy changes blocked by a split Congress, higher tariffs and lighter regulation would likely be the hallmarks of this election outcome. Overall, these two forces would have a mixed impact on equity markets.

  7. 1 day ago · 40%. 50%. Oct. 18. 47% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. The presidential race just keeps getting tighter. With three weeks to go, The New York Times’s polling ...

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