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Jan 20, 2023 · Staff Writer. · 20 Jan 2023. Despite a volatile start to the year, the South African rand is expected to strengthen in 2023. According to Sebastian Steyn, a forex expert at Sable International ...
- Key South African Rand Drivers
- Rand Remains Under Pressure from Deficits
- South African Rand Forecast: Will The Rand Remain Under Pressure Or Rebound?
- The Bottom Line
The South African rand is the official currency of the Southern African Common Monetary Area, issued by the South African Reserve Bank (SARB). The rand is used in South Africa and in Namibia, Lesotho and Eswatini alongside their local currencies, which are pegged to the rand. The rand was introduced in 1961, ahead of South Africa becoming a republi...
The rand started 2022 at 15.40 against the US dollar, and strengthened to 14.61 at the start of March. But the gains were short-lived, and the rand began to trend lower, reaching 15.81 on 1 April. It climbed above 16.00 in May. The USD/ZAR pair passed the 17.00 mark in July and reached 18.40 on 24 October, its highest level since April 2020. The pa...
USD/ZAR forecast
In their latest South African rand forecast, CIBC’s analysts were cautious, expecting the currency to move back to 18 against the US dollar by the end of 2022, noting: “The presumption of significant additional tightening continues to weigh on growth assumptions and drag on broad investor sentiment. A prolonged period of above average inflation and slow growth, additionally the current account is expected to slip back into deficit territory into 2023, underlines why speculative ZAR holdings h...
EUR/ZAR forecast
At the time of writing (8 November), analysts saw the potential for the rand to strengthen against the euro over the long term, following potential short-term weakness. MUFG’s South African rand forecast for 2023 showed the EUR/ZAR pair rising to 18.12 in the first quarter, from 17.67 at the end of 2022, but then retreating to 17.75 by the third quarter. The EUR/ZAR forecast from Denmark’s Danske Bankindicated that the pair could decline from the current spot rate around 17.77 to 16.50 in one...
GBP/ZAR forecast
Similarly, Danske’s GBP/ZAR forecast estimated that the rand could gradually strengthen over the next year, with the pair falling from 20.45 at the time of writing (8 November) to 18.74 in one month, 18.34 in three months, 18.56 in six months and 18.38 in 12 months. But for the longer term, the British pound to South African rand forecast for 2025 from algorithm-based forecasting service Wallet Investorshowed the pair rising to 20.714, from 20.231 at the end of 2023 and 19.976 at the end of 2...
Are you looking for a South African rand forecast to inform your foreign exchange trading strategy? It’s important to remember that the volatility of currency markets makes it difficult for analysts and algorithm-based forecasters to come up with accurate long-term predictions. We recommend that you look at the latest market trends, news, technical...
Jan 17, 2023 · Investec highlighted five key scenarios for South Africa in 2023, the most likely being its baseline scenario with a 48% chance of occurring. Extreme upside. Rand movement: Strong first quarter ...
Jul 31, 2023 · Luke Fraser. · 31 Jul 2023. The rand has seen significantly strengthened over the last month, and it could extend these gains for the rest of the year. The rand was one of the worst-performing ...
R17.00/USD is a major resistance level and will be challenging for the rand to sustainably break through. The rand is highly volatile, reflective of investor sentiment, with foreigners showing changing levels of interest in SA’s portfolio assets week to week, while the rand has moved to R17.75/USD last week, before slipping below R17.30/USD.
Dec 20, 2023 · Eskom’s worst year was bad for the rand too Less a single event than an ongoing disaster, load shedding continued to be a millstone around the rand’s neck in 2023. 2023 was Eskom’s worst ...
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Rand Outlook: the rand is likely to run between R15.00/USD to R16/USD over 2022, but remains at risk of further weakness Wednesday 8 December 2021 Figure 1: USDZAR vs US 10-year bond (%) Source: Iress After briefly reaching R13.40/USD, R16.32/EUR and R18.96/GBP this year in early June, the rand
