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- (13 May 2021) Brent crude oil prices will average $62.26 per barrel in 2021 and $60.74 per barrel in 2022 according to the forecast in the most recent Short-Term Energy Outlook from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). This represents a rebound from the 2020 average of $41.69 per barrel, but it is still lower than pre-COVID levels.
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Dec 14, 2022 · World oil demand is set to contract by 110 kb/d y-o-y in 4Q22, reaching 100.8 mb/d, up by 130 kb/d compared with last month’s Report. Strong gasoil use in key consuming countries outweighs weak European and Asian petrochemical deliveries.
- Oil at $80 Sows The Seeds of Volatility in Supply and Demand
- Cruising Altitude: Physical Tightening Hits Top of The Price Band
- Draws Roll on in 4q21 - 2022 Balances Reflect A More Delicate Dance
- Us Crude Oil at The Heart of Global Deficits
- Delta Fatigue: Deep Lockdown Risk Fades, But Regional Divides Grow
As markets approach normalization, higher prices breed reactivity in fundamentals, with supply gradually eclipsing the demand story 1. After the demand surge. Oil markets are objectively in a good place with a clear path towards structural tightening for the first time since the 2014 crash. Physical market tightening picked up pace as the vaccine-i...
Momentum has nudged prices higher, but global deficits may be at their peak with no change to structural price determinants in 2022 1. Short-term momentum pushes 3Q2021 prices higher, but we see no catalyst for a revision to our 2022 outlook. As a result of recent upside pressure and physical indicators, we have lifted our outlook for 3Q2021 prices...
Short term tightening to endure, but 2022 looks less clear cut. The relative slowdown in the rate of tightening in the first quarter gave way to a sharp acceleration in draws over the second quarte...
Perfect storm strikes US crude storage tanksThe acceleration in global crude market tightening over the past couple of months has played out most visibly in weekly US statistics, particularly for c...The combination of high exports and high runs (90+% capacity utilization) have been the main drivers of the nearly 50 MMbbl in crude stock draws over the past three months, yet some of the math is...WTI is now more expensive than (or at parity with) 2nd month DME futures for Mideast medium sour crude and ~$1.60 cheaper than its Atlantic Basin cousin light sweet ICE Brent, yet exports remain ro...Global oil demand recovery plays out according to plan, but variants and slow vaccination outside of developed markets mean hopes of a swift boom in “pent-up” demand above 2019 levels looks unlikel...In our base case outlook, refined fuels consumption blossoms 4.6 MMb/d between June and December. Light distillates account for 2.3MM b/d of this forecast and are on their way to meet expectations...One quarter of this increase is in jet fuel and kerosene, concentrated in the US, Asia (ex. mainland China), Latin America and Europe. The delta variant increasingly puts this consumption at risk,...Dec 2, 2022 · The EIA predicts that by 2025 Brent crude oil's nominal price will rise to $67/b (in 2021 dollars). By 2030, world demand is seen driving Brent prices to $79/b. By 2040, prices are projected to be $84/b. By then, the cheap oil sources will have been exhausted, making it more expensive to extract oil. By 2050, oil prices could be $90/b.
- Kimberly Amadeo
Mar 17, 2021 · Oil 2021 tackles these questions by analysing oil market data, trends in investment and government policies. The report provides a comprehensive outlook for global supply and demand through 2026 and explores some of the challenges and uncertainties that lie ahead.
Mar 13, 2022 · (13 May 2021) Brent crude oil prices will average $62.26 per barrel in 2021 and $60.74 per barrel in 2022 according to the forecast in the most recent Short-Term Energy Outlook from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).
- Alex Kulikov
May 12, 2022 · Highlights. World oil demand growth is forecast to slow to 1.9 mb/d in 2Q22 from 4.4 mb/d in 1Q22 and is now projected to ease to 490 kb/d on average in the second half of the year on a more tempered economic expansion and higher prices.
Jul 13, 2022 · Highlights. Higher prices and a deteriorating economic environment have started to take their toll on oil demand, but strong power generation use and a recovery in China are providing a partial offset. Global oil demand growth has been marginally reduced to 1.7 mb/d in 2022, reaching 99.2 mb/d.
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