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  1. Jul 5, 2023 · In fact, it is almost all you hear right now: default is a serious threat if the debt-ceiling is not raised: “The White House warned a US debt default will cause stocks to plunge 45% and will crash the US into a deep recession” and “JPMorgan warned that just getting close to the default scenario could create a market panic.”

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      GR 2.0 is really the same recession after the Fed’s...

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      A collection of articles about the economy based on letters...

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      2019 Recession Now The Federal Reserve does damage control...

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  2. GR 2.0 is really the same recession after the Fed’s artificial life support has been removed, which I have claimed we would fall back into from the start of my economic writing a decade ago. It was such a great recession for the top one percent that we’ve decided to do it all over again. –David Haggith.

    • Bond Yields and Inflation Swing Their Scythes Like The Grim Reaper
    • Yield Curve Inverting at Lightning Speed Screams “Recession”
    • The Big Bond Bubble Breakdown

    Only days ago, I had also written in the introduction to my latest series of Patron Posts, My main thesis last year claimed the Fed had been exercising total yield-curve control for the past two years with its massive bond purchases along all maturities along the curve. Obviously, the Fed decided for itself how many treasuries to buy at each inflec...

    Bonds are also repricing in the pattern that flashes “recession” now that they have been released from Fed control. We have witnessed the fastest moves into inversion of the yield curve one can imagine as prices rise disproportionately toward the front end of the curve: There we have someone else using the term I was using to describe why bond yiel...

    In the bond realm, the interest trajectory shown above is a rocket ride. I’ve also said that the point where rapidly climbing bond interest is likely to cause serious trouble for stocks was in the 2.25%-2.5% range. Well, we’ve clipped almost to the top of that range in the space of one day; so, we’ll see what happens as that fact gets digested by s...

  3. Dec 16, 2017 · TEN years ago this month, America entered the “Great Recession”. A decade on, the recession occupies a strange space in public memory. Its toll was clearly large. America suffered a cumulative...

  4. Jun 7, 2022 · An analysis of shareholder returns from the last prolonged U.S. recession reveals a business strategy for weathering such contractions.

  5. Feb 15, 2024 · The Great Recession created untold hardship, but new research suggests that it also helped prolong the lives of many Americans.

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  7. The Great Recession was a period of marked general decline observed in national economies globally, i.e. a recession, that occurred in the late 2000s. The scale and timing of the recession varied from country to country (see map).

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