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  1. Mar 14, 2024 · World oil demand growth is now forecast at 1.3 mb/d in 2024, down sharply from last year’s 2.3 mb/d expansion. The slowdown in growth, already apparent in recent data, means that oil consumption reverts towards its historical trend after several years of volatility from the post-pandemic rebound.

  2. May 22, 2024 · In 2023, world oil demand exceeded 100 million bbl/d for the first time since the pandemic. Forecasts suggest global oil demand will grow even more in 2024.

  3. Aug 22, 2024 · The path of global demand over the course of 202425 will play a critical role in determining oil prices. In particular, China’s economic activity and the risk of a recession in countries around the world will impact the demand outlook.

  4. A ramping up of world oil production capacity, led by the United States and other producers in the Americas, is expected to outstrip demand growth over the 20232030 forecast period and inflate the world’s spare capacity cushion to levels that are unprecedented, barring the Covid-19 period.

  5. Jun 12, 2024 · World oil demand growth continues to slow, with 2024 gains now seen at 960 kb/d, 100 kb/d below last month’s forecast. Weak OECD deliveries pushed global demand into a narrow y-o-y contraction in March.

  6. Sep 5, 2024 · We estimate that global oil inventories will increase by an average of 0.5 million b/d in the second half of 2025 (2H25). We forecast the Brent price will average $84/b in 2025. Recent production outages in Libya add a new source of uncertainty for crude oil prices in the coming months.

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    • Global oil demand. Global liquids demand decreased m-o-m by 2.6 MMb/d to 100.4 MMb/d. The decline was driven by Europe and China, where demand decreased m-o-m by 0.8 MMb/d and 0.6 MMb/d, respectively.
    • OPEC 10 production (excl. Iran, Venezuela, Libya). OPEC 10’s production decreased slightly, by 0.1 MMb/d m-o-m to 26.9 MMb/d. OPEC’s production has declined by 1.97 MMb/d since January 2023 as it continues to curtail supply, with added uncertainty due to geopolitical tension in Iran.
    • Non-OPEC production (excl. US shale). Non-OPEC production decreased by 0.9 MMb/d m-o-m to 60.1 MMb/d. The decline was primarily driven by US non-shale onshore production, which witnessed a m-o-m decline of 0.5 MMb/d due to extreme cold weather disruptions.
    • US shale oil production. US shale oil production declined sharply by 0.5 MMb/d m-o-m in January to 9.3 MMb/d as a result of shut-downs due to cold weather across central US.
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