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      • Evidence of a non-linear impact of oil prices on real GDP is found. In particular, oil price increases are found to have an impact on GDP growth of a larger magnitude than that of oil price declines, with the latter being statistically insignificant in most cases.
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  2. May 1, 2020 · The results from the ARX(4) model suggest that especially oil price increases are important for the oil price-GDP relation. We find slightly significant impact of oil price decreases on GDP growth for the heteroskedasticity-adjusted oil price measure.

  3. Feb 16, 2022 · How do oil price increases affect inflation and what does that mean for the global economy? Oil is 3% of global GDP. So, if 3% of global GDP is twice as expensive tomorrow, clearly, this will have some impact on inflation.

  4. Aug 1, 2022 · The asymmetric effect of oil prices on real GDP is observed for OECD countries by Jiménez-Rodríguez and Sánchez, 2005 through their multivariate VAR framework as oil price increases exert a negative effect on the economic activities of other countries except for Japan.

  5. Aug 16, 2006 · Evidence of a non-linear impact of oil prices on real GDP is found. In particular, oil price increases are found to have an impact on GDP growth of a larger magnitude than that of oil price declines, with the latter being statistically insignificant in most cases.

    • Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez, Marcelo Sánchez
    • 2005
  6. If the quantity of oil consumption remains unchanged, then a 25% increase in the price of oil will cause spending on other items to decrease and, hence, real GDP to contract by 1% of the total.

  7. Jun 7, 2022 · In the case of aggregate demand shocks, real GDP increases initially followed by a gradual decrease as a response to the positive aggregate demand shocks in K09 and KM14, while the response of the real GDP in BH19 is persistently and significantly positive.

  8. May 1, 2020 · Crude oil price increases and decreases (solid lines) and U.S. recessions (shaded areas). Source: Authors calculations and NBER data. Overview of the different observation periods, oil price...

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