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- Evidence of a non-linear impact of oil prices on real GDP is found. In particular, oil price increases are found to have an impact on GDP growth of a larger magnitude than that of oil price declines, with the latter being statistically insignificant in most cases.
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Do oil price increases explain real GDP growth?
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May 1, 2020 · The results from the ARX(4) model suggest that especially oil price increases are important for the oil price-GDP relation. We find slightly significant impact of oil price decreases on GDP growth for the heteroskedasticity-adjusted oil price measure.
- Oil price and economic performance: Additional evidence from ...
The asymmetric effect of oil prices on real GDP is observed...
- Oil price and economic performance: Additional evidence from ...
Feb 16, 2022 · How do oil price increases affect inflation and what does that mean for the global economy? Oil is 3% of global GDP. So, if 3% of global GDP is twice as expensive tomorrow, clearly, this will have some impact on inflation.
Aug 1, 2022 · The asymmetric effect of oil prices on real GDP is observed for OECD countries by Jiménez-Rodríguez and Sánchez, 2005 through their multivariate VAR framework as oil price increases exert a negative effect on the economic activities of other countries except for Japan.
Aug 16, 2006 · Evidence of a non-linear impact of oil prices on real GDP is found. In particular, oil price increases are found to have an impact on GDP growth of a larger magnitude than that of oil price declines, with the latter being statistically insignificant in most cases.
- Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez, Marcelo Sánchez
- 2005
If the quantity of oil consumption remains unchanged, then a 25% increase in the price of oil will cause spending on other items to decrease and, hence, real GDP to contract by 1% of the total.
Jun 7, 2022 · In the case of aggregate demand shocks, real GDP increases initially followed by a gradual decrease as a response to the positive aggregate demand shocks in K09 and KM14, while the response of the real GDP in BH19 is persistently and significantly positive.
May 1, 2020 · Crude oil price increases and decreases (solid lines) and U.S. recessions (shaded areas). Source: Authors calculations and NBER data. Overview of the different observation periods, oil price...