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      • During cold months, natural gas demand for heating by residential and commercial consumers generally increases the overall natural gas demand and can put upward pressure on prices. If unexpected and cold or severe weather occurs, the effect on prices can intensify because supply is often unable to react quickly to short-term increases in demand.
      www.eia.gov/energyexplained/natural-gas/factors-affecting-natural-gas-prices.php
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    • Factors Affecting Supply
    • Demand
    • The Link Between Gas and Oil Prices
    • The Link Between Gas Prices and Electricity
    Pipeline capacity. The majority of natural gas comes from fixed pipelines from natural gas production to homes and businesses. If access is restricted, supply will fall.  For example, the Russian/U...
    An alternative source of natural gas is to buy liquid natural gas which can be transported in containers (liquified form takes up to 600 times less space than the gas) However this is generally a m...
    New gas supplies. For example, recently, US has increased the supply of gas from controversial fracking methods. This has led US gas price to become lower than Japan and UK. The UK and Europe have...
    Storage. Natural gas can be stored in physical locations. A large store, will help keep prices low, but when stocks run low, this can push up prices. Before, the invasion of Ukraine, Russia’s large...
    Weather. A major use of natural gas is in heating – both in households, commercial and industrial sectors. In cold weather and the winter months, demand for natural gas rises rapidly.
    Power. Another major use of natural gas is to use in power generation. Gas can be burned to create electricity. This is why higher gas prices, will lead to higher electricity prices too.
    Economic growth. Higher economic growth will increase demand for natural gas as consumers can afford to have a warmer home in winter. Also, economic growth will increase industrial use as productio...
    Speculation. Natural gas is an important commodity and traders will look at future expectations in determining what they buy in advance. If stocks are low, then this is a signal that price is likel...

    Before the production of shale gas, there was a strong correlation between the price of natural gas and crude oil. This is because 1. Gas and oil were substitutes. Higher oil prices would lead to a higher demand for natural gas as an alternative to generating power from petroleum products.

    Rising gas prices usually lead to higher electricity prices. In the UK 42% of electricity is generated from burning natural gas (2016). Therefore, if natural gas is more expensive, then electricity...

  2. Oct 26, 2022 · Residential and commercial demand for natural gas can decrease by up to five bcf per day (bcfd) with a warm winter. Meanwhile, a cold winter can increase demand by up to five bcfd, in large part due to the natural gas required for space heating. In turn, prices are swayed (Exhibit 1).

  3. Oct 9, 2013 · Natural gas prices are especially affected by weather during the winter, as many households use natural gas for home heating. Warmer weather translates into less natural gas...

  4. Nov 7, 2023 · Get insights on natural gas production, pricing trends, hurricane season, and more. Learn how economic factors and marketplace trends affect your energy pricing decisions.

  5. Oct 12, 2021 · Prices of both natural gas and electricity will fluctuate in Europe depending on temperatures, wind output and many other factors. In this sense, weather conditions will affect markets from both the demand and supply sides.

  6. Aug 25, 2023 · In this study, six weather indicators are used as exogenous variables, and seasonal-trend decomposition-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity-Weather (STL-GARCH-W) and STL-GJR-GARCH-W models are constructed to explore the effect of weather on global natural gas market.

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