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1. • • Despite fears that the Federal Reserve has fallen behind the curve on cutting US interest rates, economists believe fears of a looming recession are an overreaction.
     www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2024/08/08/us-recession-fears-are-overblown-experts-say/

     US recession fears are overblown, experts say | The National

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   Are fears over a looming US recession overblown?

   • Fears over a looming US recession triggered a sharp drop in global markets this week, but many economists think those fears are overblown. The sell-off reflected worries that the US Federal Reserve has been too slow to cut interest rates from their current 23-year high, amid signs that the world’s largest economy is faltering.

   The Big Question: is the US heading for a recession? - Financial Times

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   Are economists warning of a recession?

   • Many economists are warning of a recession, but some saying those fears are overblown. Image: Knowledge At Wharton The most widely accepted definition of a recession is two consecutive quarters of declining GDP. The United States is now facing the familiar precursors of a recession, including rising interest rates on the back of high inflation.

   Is the US heading for recession? All the indicators say yes | World

   www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/05/united-states-recession/

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   Are we headed for a recession?

   • Any recession or recovery is often attended by confusing, even contradictory data. Put unforeseen inflation, sour sentiment and unexpectedly strong job growth into the mix, and things get messy. All of those conditions are present now. That doesn’t mean we’re headed for a recession — or even in one now.

   Think Recession Fears Are Overblown? You Need to Read This

   www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-08-08/recession-fears-are-overblown-read-this-before-you-trust-the-experts

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   Will there be a recession next year?

   • Other forecasters said the same: Economists at Goldman Sachs over the weekend said they saw a 25 percent chance of a recession over the next year, up from 15 percent before the latest round of economic data. More important than the predictions themselves — which, after all, have repeatedly proved unreliable — are the factors underlying them.

   Stock Markets Signal Recession Fears. Here’s the Economic Outlook

   www.nytimes.com/2024/08/06/business/economy/recession-markets-stocks.html

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   Is the US in a recession?

   • “Given everything we know, or that we think we know, the United States is not in a recession,” Ms. Sahm said. “But the risk of going into a recession in, say, in the next three to six months? Those have really gone up.” Still, by most measures the U.S. economy is slowing down, not stalling out.

   Stock Markets Signal Recession Fears. Here’s the Economic Outlook

   www.nytimes.com/2024/08/06/business/economy/recession-markets-stocks.html

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   Can the US avoid a recession?

   • Perhaps this means the US may avoid a recession for the foreseeable future. But be careful reading too much into a single data dump. Turning points in the business cycle are often defined by perplexing, contradictory data that can take many months to resolve.

   Think Recession Fears Are Overblown? You Need to Read This

   www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-08-08/recession-fears-are-overblown-read-this-before-you-trust-the-experts

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3. www.ft.com › content › f6d29aec-4105/4899/93c0-cbbThe Big Question: is the US heading for a recession?

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   Aug 9, 2024 · Fears over a looming US recession triggered a sharp drop in global markets this week, but many economists think those fears are overblown. The sell-off reflected worries that the US...

   • Author: Charlotte Seager

4. www.thenationalnews.com › business › economyUS recession fears are overblown, experts say | The National

   www.thenationalnews.com › business › economy

   Aug 8, 2024 · Despite fears that the Federal Reserve has fallen behind the curve on cutting US interest rates, economists believe fears of a looming recession are an overreaction.

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     Why US recession fears are likely overblown

     Aug 6, 2024

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     As economists warn of a recession, what lies ahead for the US economy?

     May 3, 2022

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     Recession fears loom despite positive economic signs

     Jun 1, 2022

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6. www.goldmansachs.com › pdfs › insightsGoldman Sachs Exchanges Why recession fears are likely ...

   www.goldmansachs.com › pdfs › insights

   could be falling into a recession? David Mericle: I think that's the other source of some of these market fears. Some of it is the weaker survey data. Some of it is the sense that bottom up messages from companies during earnings season are giving us an early warning sign that we're not yet seeing in the aggregate data

7. www.weforum.org › 2022 › 05Is the US heading for recession? All the indicators say yes ...

   www.weforum.org › 2022 › 05

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   May 4, 2022 · Many economists are warning of a recession, but some saying those fears are overblown. The most widely accepted definition of a recession is two consecutive quarters of declining GDP. The United States is now facing the familiar precursors of a recession, including rising interest rates on the back of high inflation.

8. www.cbsnews.com › news › economy-sahm-rule-is-the-usIs the U.S. headed for a recession? Here's what the experts say.

   www.cbsnews.com › news › economy-sahm-rule-is-the-us

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   Aug 8, 2024 · One economic indicator sparking fears of a so-called hard landing was the disappointing jobs report on August 2, which showed that the unemployment rate jumped to 4.3% in July from 4.1% in the...

9. www.nytimes.com › recession-markets-stocksRecession Fears May Be Overstated, but Not Unfounded

   www.nytimes.com › recession-markets-stocks

   Aug 6, 2024 · Recession Fears May Be Overstated, but Not Unfounded. The economy has repeatedly defied predictions of a downturn since the pandemic recovery began. Now signs of strength contend with shakier ...

10. www.bloomberg.com › opinion › articlesThink Recession Fears Are Overblown? You Need to Read This

    www.bloomberg.com › opinion › articles

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    Aug 8, 2022 · Friday’s positive jobs report — which far exceeded expectations — would seem to suggest that recession fears have been a bit overblown. At the very least, it adds yet another contradictory ...