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1. www.abc.net.au › news › 2024/11/02Kamala Harris has two possible paths to win the election ...

   www.abc.net.au › news › 2024/11/02

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   19 hours ago · History's lesson is that the election of a black woman to the White House goes against the odds and would be a huge break in an almost unbroken conga line of white men. But, of course, it is possible.

2. www.usatoday.com › story › newsWho will win, Trump or Harris, according to polls, betting odds

   www.usatoday.com › story › news

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   1 day ago · The offshore betting markets have much more faith in a Trump win. Harris and Trump's odds were tied at the start of the month, but since then, Trump's odds have risen significantly.

3. www.nytimes.com › interactive › 2024/11/01Opinion | Why Trump Has a More Plausible Path to the ...

   www.nytimes.com › interactive › 2024/11/01

   1 day ago · Why Trump Has a More Plausible Path to the Presidency, in 19 Maps. Mr. Sosnik was a senior adviser to President Bill Clinton from 1994 to 2000 and has advised more than 50 governors and U.S ...

4. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2024-election-forecastWho Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2024-election-forecast

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   2 days ago · Who’s favored to win each state? Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most likely to give the winner their 270th...

   • Author: G. Elliott Morris

5. www.bbc.com › news › articlesUS election polls: Who is ahead - Harris or Trump? - BBC

   www.bbc.com › news › articles

   An in-depth look at the polls and what they can and can’t tell us about who will win the White House.

6. www.economist.com › united-states › 2024/10/30Why Kamala Harris’s chances of victory just jumped

   www.economist.com › united-states › 2024/10/30

   3 days ago · O ur statistical model of America’s presidential election will be updated six more times ... which means that even tiny changes in expected vote shares can yield large shifts in win ...

7. People also ask

   Could Trump win if polls change or Miss in his favor?

   • If the polls change, or miss, in Trump’s favor Trump could easily prevail if he gains ground in key states — or if the polls are already underestimating him. A shift or polling miss in his favor would not be uncommon, though of course that is not guaranteed. Trump is within 1 point of the lead in this state.

   Election 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump - The New York Times

   www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/polls-president.html

   See all results for this question

   How many times does Harris win a presidential election?

   • 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election. Harris wins 46 times out of 100. There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner. What are the latest national polls influencing the forecast?

   Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

   See all results for this question

   How many votes do you need to win a presidential election?

   • That's because the US uses an electoral college system, in which each state is given a number of votes roughly in line with the size of its population. A total of 538 electoral college votes are up for grabs, so a candidate needs to hit 270 to win.

   US election polls: Who is ahead - Harris or Trump?

   www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj4x71znwxdo

   See all results for this question

   Are Democrats better than the GOP in statewide elections?

   • The demographics, issues and voting history favor the Democrats, who have done better than the G.O.P. in statewide elections since 2018. She is in tougher shape in the Sun Belt states: In the most recent NBC poll, she has dropped 20 points with Hispanic voters and four points with Black voters.

   Why Trump Has a More Plausible Path to the Presidency, in 19 Maps

   www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/01/opinion/harris-trump-electoral-college-prediction.html

   See all results for this question

   Can Harris win without a white majority?

   • If white voters buy that, then the only path left for Harris is to ensure that the other major racial blocs — Blacks, Hispanics and Asians — show up for her en masse. She can win without securing a white majority (as long as her white vote doesn't collapse) but only if she carries a very significant majority of minorities.

   Kamala Harris has two possible paths to win the election against Donal…

   www.abc.net.au/news/2024-11-02/kamala-harris-paths-to-win-us-election-over-donald-trump/104540990

   See all results for this question

   Is there a clear favorite in the 2016 election?

   • In this year's race, though, there appears to be no clear favorite. A New York Times analysis says betting markets have mixed results when it comes to elections. One of the times the markets got it wrong was the 2016 election that Trump won when Hillary Clinton was favored.

   Who will win the presidential election? Polls, betting odds in the final str…

   www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/01/who-will-win-donald-trump-or-kamala-harris-according-to-polls-betting-odds/75968854007/

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8. www.nytimes.com › interactive › 2024Election 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump - The New York Times

   www.nytimes.com › interactive › 2024

   19 hours ago · Trump could win by a larger electoral college margin if the polls are underestimating him even slightly. Here’s one possibility.

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