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  1. Jun 15, 2020 · That's the major earthquake with a 70 per cent probability of striking Tokyo some time in the next 30 years. ... glimpse of what could happen next, when a natural disaster happens," Professor Fuse ...

    • 1 min
    • North Asia correspondent Jake Sturmer,Yumi Asada in Tokyo
  2. And even when the likelihood of an earthquake could be higher, the chances remain small. ... there have likely been at least 30 large earthquakes over the last 14,200 years in sections of the ...

    • Science Reporter
    • 2 min
  3. Aug 9, 2024 · Experts say there is a 70% to 80% chance of a magnitude 8 or 9 quake striking somewhere along the trough in the next 30 years, with worst-case scenarios suggesting it would cause trillions in ...

  4. May 28, 2015 · The last big quake near Los ... quake will occur in California within the next 30 years. That’s about as big as earthquakes can get in California, notes Jordan—a magnitude 8.3 quake might be ...

    • 3 min
    • Sarah Zielinski
  5. Aug 13, 2024 · At the Nankai Trough, severe earthquakes have been recorded every 100 to 200 years, according to the committee. The last such quakes took place in 1944 and 1946, both measuring 8.1 in magnitude ...

  6. Aug 9, 2024 · As it’s been 78 years since the last major quake in the area, the likelihood that a magnitude 8 to 9 class earthquake will strike in the next 30 years ranges from 70% to 80%, according to ...

  7. Jun 27, 2024 · The quest to predict major earthquakes before they happen. ... “The big one is supposed to be worse,” we whispered to ourselves, and to one another. ... sometime in the next 30 years. When my ...

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