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Sep 9, 2014 · Decision makers need to know how confidently they can extrapolate results from the contexts that scientists have studied to the ones that interest them. Sometimes scientists have evidence that can limit the uncertainty (e.g., “although the study involved women, gender differences are rare with such behaviors”).
- Baruch Fischhoff, Alex L. Davis
- 10.1073/pnas.1317504111
- 2014
- 2014/09/09
Jul 20, 2021 · If we are aware of and agree with that “all scientific explanations are uncertain” (p.176), “uncertainty and awareness of that uncertainty is a driving force for scientific advancement” (p. 206), and “since [science] is uncertain, science is continually searching for new evidence” (p. 215), then understanding the role of uncertainty and learning how to manage it should be essential ...
Feb 4, 2022 · Epistemic hubris can limit Western scientists’ curiosity and information seeking, leading to failure to consider important sources of uncertainty. Thus, integration of multiple perspectives, including perspectives from outside the culture of Western science, has the potential to meaningfully improve the quality of scientific conclusions, including analyses of risk and uncertainty.
Apr 23, 2022 · Third, it is important to remember that the public has a relatively high level of confidence in the scientific community; for example, in the pooled data from 2006 and 2010, 44.0 percent of respondents have a great deal of confidence, 49.5 percent have only some confidence, and 6.6 percent have hardly any confidence.
May 8, 2019 · Metrology is defined as the ‘the science of measurement, embracing both experimental and theoretical determinations at any level of uncertainty in any field of science and technology’, and the standard Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement (GUM ) specifies two sources of uncertainty: ‘Type A’ uncertainty arises from variation which can be reduced by taking further ...
- Anne Marthe van der Bles, Sander van der Linden, Alexandra L. J. Freeman, James Mitchell, Ana Beatri...
- 2019
Oct 24, 2019 · It is included in public representations of science, for instance in articles about climate change. 9 Close Additionally, communicating scientific uncertainty to the public may not have detrimental effects on the public’s trust in scientists and their work. 10 Close However, it seems that how people understand the accuracy of a particular scientific field guides their perception of it and ...
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Oct 1, 2023 · Further, scientists and non-scientists may have fundamentally different understandings of how confident we can be in scientific findings and have different notions as to what constitutes evidence for or against a theory or hypothesis, and how that relates to the presence of uncertainty [30, 78, 93, 94].
