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1. fivethirtyeight.com › features › 2022-electionThe Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight

   fivethirtyeight.com › features › 2022-election

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   Mar 10, 2023 · Despite a loud chorus of naysayers claiming that the polls were either underestimating Democratic support or biased yet again against Republicans, the polls were more accurate in 2022 than in any ...

   • Conventional Wisdom May Be Contaminating Polls

     The polls in France this weekend were much less accurate...

   • The Polls Are All Right

     Polls of the November 2016 presidential election were about...

   • House Effects

     Historically in presidential years, polls of likely voters...

   • How Our 2022 Midterm Forecasts Performed

     That was the case in 2022, where Democrats were modestly...

2. www.nytimes.com › interactive › 2024/10/17What Past Polling Misses Can Tell Us About the 2024 Election

   www.nytimes.com › interactive › 2024/10/17

   2 days ago · The polls in the 2022 midterms, for example, were some of the most accurate in years. To judge the accuracy of presidential polls, the charts in this article show averages that combine many polls ...

3. nymag.com › intelligencer › articleHow Accurate Were the Polls in the 2022 Elections?

   nymag.com › intelligencer › article

   Nov 9, 2022 · What the Polls Said: Republican Blake Masters wound up with a 0.3 percent lead in the final RCP averages; he didn’t lead in a single public poll until right before the election. Who Actually Won ...

4. www.nytimes.com › 2022-poll-accuracyPolls Were Great in 2022. Can They Repeat Their Success in ...

   www.nytimes.com › 2022-poll-accuracy

   Jul 12, 2023 · Overall, 2022 was one of the most accurate years for polling in recent history, according to an analysis by FiveThirtyEight. Many pollsters “probably would have gotten 2022 right even without ...

5. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › president-generalPresident: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › president-general

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   3 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.

6. www.realclearpolitics.com › rcp-pollster-scorecardRealClearPolitics - National - RCP Pollster Scorecard

   www.realclearpolitics.com › rcp-pollster-scorecard

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   The cumulative 2014 – 2022 scorecard includes pollsters who released a final national presidential survey within 25 days of both the 2016 and 2020 general elections, as well as a minimum of two ...

7. People also ask

   How accurate were presidential polls in 2022?

   • The polls in the 2022 midterms, for example, were some of the most accurate in years. To judge the accuracy of presidential polls, the charts in this article show averages that combine many polls into one estimate for each election. Between 1988 and 2020, the final national polling average was off by an average of 2.3 percentage points.

   How Accurate, or Off-Target, Could the Polls Be This Year?

   www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/17/us/politics/national-polls-election-results.html

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   Was 2022 a good year for polling?

   • Overall, 2022 was one of the most accurate years for polling in recent history, according to an analysis by FiveThirtyEight. Many pollsters “probably would have gotten 2022 right even without that extra weighting step, because we did,” said Patrick Murray of the Monmouth University Poll.

   Polls Were Great in 2022. Can They Repeat Their Success in 2024?

   www.nytimes.com/2023/07/12/us/elections/2022-poll-accuracy.html

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   Was 2022 a banner year for polling?

   • We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since 1998, 2 using three lenses — error, “calls” and statistical bias — to conclude that 2022 was a banner year for polling.

   The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight

   fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-election-polling-accuracy/

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   What's the difference between 2022 midterms and last two presidential elections?

   • Most pollsters have made some changes to their methodology, partly in response to the 2020 misses, and the accurate 2022 midterm polls gave pollsters some optimism. But one key difference between the midterms and the last two presidential elections is that Mr. Trump was not on the ballot.

   How Accurate, or Off-Target, Could the Polls Be This Year?

   www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/17/us/politics/national-polls-election-results.html

   See all results for this question

   Could a polling tactic help carry a presidential election through 2022?

   • With a highly successful polling cycle behind them, some pollsters believe a tactic that gained widespread adoption in 2022 may help carry them through the next presidential election. But even the tactic’s adherents say it may not be a panacea, particularly if former President Donald J. Trump is once again on the ballot.

   Polls Were Great in 2022. Can They Repeat Their Success in 2024?

   www.nytimes.com/2023/07/12/us/elections/2022-poll-accuracy.html

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   How close were polls in 2022?

   • So for 2022, the only substantive lesson we can glean from this metric is that polls were historically close — something we already knew! In fact, 55 percent of the polls we analyzed for last cycle were closer than 6 points.

   The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight

   fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-election-polling-accuracy/

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8. fivethirtyeight.com › features › how-our-2022How Our 2022 Midterm Forecasts Performed - FiveThirtyEight

   fivethirtyeight.com › features › how-our-2022

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   Feb 2, 2023 · That was the case in 2022, where Democrats were modestly underrated by the polls in 2022 — albeit with some misses in both directions — after Republicans considerably overperformed their polls ...